CustodyStress
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Part of the CustodyStress archive of observed Bitcoin custody incidents

Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024)

The fourth halving cycle is defined by the emergence of coercion as a primary stress category. As Bitcoin's price reached new highs and self-custody became more widely practised, targeted physical attacks increased sharply. The FTX collapse in 2022 produced the largest single cluster of vendor-lockout cases in the archive.

191 cases from this period are included in this archive. Coercion accounts for 30% of cases — the dominant stress pattern. 73% of determinate cases resulted in a blocked outcome.

69
Blocked
13
Constrained
12
Survived
97
Indeterminate

87% of determinate cases resulted in blocked or constrained access.

191 observed cases
Blocked
69 (36%)
Constrained
13 (7%)
Survived
12 (6%)
Indeterminate
97 (51%)
Freewallet Account Suspension: Institutional Custody Lock-In on First Withdrawal
Exchange custody
Indeterminate 2022
On October 14, 2022, a BitcoinTalk user (ilgust12) reported a custody access failure with Freewallet.org, a custodial online wallet service. The user had deposi
Unencrypted 2010 Wallet.dat Corrupted Beyond Recovery
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2022
In March 2022, RBIT777 posted to a Bitcoin forum seeking help recovering a wallet created in 2010 on their hard drive. The wallet had never been encrypted—a com
Florida-Based Gang Conducts 11 Coordinated Crypto Home Invasions Across US States 2022–2023
Unknown custody system
Blocked 2022
Between 2022 and 2023, a 13-member criminal network based in Florida escalated from digital theft tactics to systematic home invasions targeting cryptocurrency
Norrköping Home Invasion: Forced Cryptocurrency Transfer Under Duress
Unknown custody system
Blocked 2022
In April 2022, a couple in Norrköping, Sweden experienced a home invasion during which they were tied up and beaten by intruders. The attackers subsequently coe
Phone Lost With 12-Word Recovery Phrase Stored: Permanent Bitcoin Loss
Software wallet
Blocked 2022
On April 4, 2022, a Bitcoin holder reported losing their mobile phone on which they had stored their 12-word recovery phrase. The user retained knowledge of the
Paxful Insolvency: Withdrawal Request Trapped in Administrative Limbo
Exchange custody
Blocked 2022
Paxful, a peer-to-peer Bitcoin marketplace, announced its closure between 2021 and 2022. One user failed to notice the shutdown notification amid email volume a
MultiBit Classic Wallet Password Lost, No Seed Phrase Documented (2014)
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2021
In January 2021, a user identified as mr_fish2021 recovered an old Windows computer containing a MultiBit Classic wallet created in 2014. The wallet held an und
14.5 BTC Stolen From bitcoinpaperwallet.com-Generated Wallet
Software wallet
Blocked 2021
In January 2021, a Bitcoin holder attempted to create a paper wallet using bitcoinpaperwallet.com. The user reported running the generator offline before sendin
Armory v0.88.1 Desktop Wallet: 50+ BTC Inaccessible Due to Forgotten Passphrase
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2021
In April 2021, a BitcoinTalk user identified as vect0rz reported losing access to an Armory v0.88.1 desktop wallet containing over 50 BTC. The wallet was create
Blockchain.com 2014 Wallet: 0.5 BTC Locked by Forgotten Password and Lost Recovery Phrase
Exchange custody
Indeterminate 2021
A BitcoinTalk user reported in October 2021 that their friend had purchased approximately 0.5 Bitcoin on Blockchain.com in 2014. The wallet became completely in
Bitcoin Core Wallet: Encryption Mismatch Between Old Wallet Format and Modern Change Addresses
Software wallet
Blocked 2021
In early January 2021, a husband and wife discovered an old hard drive containing a Bitcoin Core wallet from prior mining operations and promotional credits. On
Physical Hard Drive Damage and wallet.dat Recovery via File Forensics
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2021
In March 2021, a BitcoinTalk user (zzcool) reported that a hard drive containing Bitcoin wallet data had physically fallen and sustained read errors. The device
Electrum Legacy Seed Phrase Recovery Attempt: 2013–2014 Bitcoin Gift Unresolved
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2021
In February 2021, a BitcoinTalk user reported attempting to recover Bitcoin his mother had received as a gift between 2013 and 2014 from an acquaintance. The gi
Mycelium Mobile Wallet: User Lost PIN Access
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2021
In May 2021, a BitcoinTalk forum user identified as VeneCzech posted a custody access failure in the Mycelium subforum. The user had lost access to their Bitcoi
Bitcoin Core Wallet Destroyed in Fire: Passphrase and Address Insufficient for Recovery
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2021
In February 2021, a Bitcoin Core user reported catastrophic loss of their wallet following a house fire. The hard drive containing the wallet was physically des
Incomplete BIP39 Seed Recovery: 11 Words, Missing Documentation, Unknown Outcome
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2021
On January 9, 2021, BitcoinTalk user P.hanseens posted a technical support request describing inaccessible Bitcoin secured by a 12-word BIP39 seed phrase with o
Valid Seed Phrase, Inaccessible Address: Coinbase Derivation Path Incompatibility
Exchange custody
Indeterminate 2021
In January 2021, forum user Folio sought help accessing Bitcoin held in a friend's Coinbase wallet. The friend had provided the seed phrase, but Folio could not
Blockchain.info Wallet Access Blocked by Lost Email Authentication
Exchange custody
Indeterminate 2021
In May 2021, user Gy.sahani located a text file backup created in 2015 containing full credentials for a Blockchain.info hosted wallet: a 20-word mnemonic phras
Blockchain.info Legacy Wallet Access Loss: Password Forgotten, Recovery Phrase Format Incompatible
Exchange custody
Indeterminate 2021
In April 2021, a Bitcoin holder discovered they could no longer access a Blockchain.info wallet opened in 2014 after forgetting the account password. The platfo
Bitcoin Core Wallet Encryption Passphrase Loss: Funds Trapped in Encrypted Keypool
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2021
In May 2021, a BitcoinTalk user reported a custody failure involving Bitcoin Core's wallet.dat encryption mechanism. The user had maintained an unencrypted wall
Bitcoin Core Wallet Password Access Anomaly: Selective Failure Across Change Outputs
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2021
In early January 2021, a couple recovered a legacy hard drive containing a Bitcoin Core wallet with accumulated mining rewards and promotional Bitcoin distribut
Coinbase Wallet $15,000 Loss: Deferred Seed Phrase, iPhone Update, No Recovery
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2021
A long-term Coinbase customer transferred approximately $15,000 USD to a newly created Coinbase Wallet in February 2021, intending to access Uniswap for decentr
Blocktrail Wallet Recovery: Lost Password, Multiple Backup Seeds, Platform Tool Failure
Exchange custody
Constrained 2021
LSU777, a BitcoinTalk forum user, attempted recovery of a Blocktrail-hosted wallet created in the pre-fork era (circa 2016) after losing the primary password. T
Coinbase Wallet Device Wipe: 3 Missing Recovery Words, Incomplete Seed Backup
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2021
In August 2021, a Coinbase Wallet user identified as Rekumkacz lost access to their mobile wallet after their son remotely initiated a factory reset of their An
Electrum Wallet Recovery Failure: Custom Extended Passphrase Lost to Platform Keyboard Layout Shift
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2021
In 2020, a Bitcoin holder created three Electrum wallets on Ubuntu Linux using a bootable USB drive as the sole storage medium, with no additional backups maint
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Halving cycles
Terms guide
Survived
Access remained possible under the reported conditions.
Constrained
Access remained possible, but only with delay, dependence, or significant difficulty.
Blocked
Access was not possible under the reported conditions.
Indeterminate
There was not enough information to determine the outcome.
Survivability
The degree to which a custody system maintains the possibility of authorized recovery under stress.
Archive inclusion criteria

This archive documents cases where a legitimate owner, heir, or authorized party encountered barriers accessing or recovering Bitcoin due to a failure in the custody arrangement. The central question for inclusion is: did the custody structure fail a legitimate access or recovery attempt?

A case must satisfy all three of the following to be included:

  1. Legitimate access attempt. The person attempting to access or recover the Bitcoin was the owner, a designated heir, an executor, a legal authority, or another party with a legitimate claim — not a thief, attacker, or unauthorized third party.
  2. Custody structure failure. The failure was caused by a property of the custody arrangement — missing credentials, structural dependencies, documentation gaps, knowledge concentration, legal barriers, or institutional constraints — not market conditions, individual-level fraud or theft, or protocol-level issues. Platform-level failures that block legitimate user access are in scope regardless of their cause.
  3. Documentable outcome or access constraint. The case must have a stated or inferable outcome: access blocked, access constrained, access delayed, or access eventually achieved through a recovery path. Cases with entirely unknown outcomes are included only where the structural failure is documented and the constraint is unambiguous.
  • Owner death or incapacity — Bitcoin held in self-custody that becomes inaccessible to heirs or designated parties because credentials, documentation, or operational knowledge were not transferred
  • Passphrase loss — BIP39 passphrase forgotten or unavailable, blocking access to a funded wallet even where the seed phrase is present
  • Seed phrase or wallet backup unavailable — no independent recovery path existed or the backup was destroyed, lost, or never created
  • Device loss without independent backup — hardware wallet, phone, or computer lost or destroyed with no recovery path outside the device
  • Documentation absent or ambiguous — heirs or executors cannot determine that Bitcoin exists, which wallet holds it, or how to access it
  • Knowledge concentration — only one person knew the procedure, passphrase, or access method; that person is dead, incapacitated, or unreachable
  • Multisig quorum failure — a threshold signature arrangement cannot be completed because signers are unavailable, uncooperative, incapacitated, or have lost their keys
  • Legal authority / access mismatch — a court order, probate ruling, or power of attorney establishes legal entitlement but provides no technical path to access
  • Institutional custody barrier — exchange or platform hacks, insolvency, regulatory seizure, or operational failure that caused a access constraint or failure for legitimate users, whether temporary, prolonged, or permanent. The failure of the custodian to remain available or solvent is itself the in-scope event.
  • Forced relocation or geographic constraint — physical access to a device or location required for recovery is blocked by displacement, border restrictions, or political circumstances
  • Coercion — the holder was compelled under threat to transfer Bitcoin or disclose credentials during an access event
  • Hidden asset discovery — heirs or executors locate a wallet or account but cannot access it due to missing credentials or operational knowledge
  • Market losses, investment losses, yield scheme losses, or Ponzi scheme losses
  • Hacks or theft targeting an individual's personal security (phishing, SIM swap, social engineering, malware) where the custody architecture itself did not fail
  • Unauthorized transfers where the holder's custody system was not the cause of the failure
  • Ordinary transaction mistakes — wrong-address sends, fee errors, mistaken amounts
  • Protocol-level failures — cryptographic vulnerabilities, consensus bugs, firmware integrity failures
  • Deliberate burns or tribute burns
  • Cases where the stated loss is unverifiable and no structural custody failure is described

Cases are drawn from public sources including forum posts, news reporting, court documents, academic research, and direct submissions. Each case is reviewed against the inclusion criteria above before publication. Source material is retained and available on request for documented cases.

The archive is observational and descriptive. It does not attempt to document all Bitcoin custody failures — only those meeting the criteria above with sufficient documentation to describe the structural failure and its outcome.

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