CustodyStress
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Part of the CustodyStress archive of observed Bitcoin custody incidents

Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024)

The fourth halving cycle is defined by the emergence of coercion as a primary stress category. As Bitcoin's price reached new highs and self-custody became more widely practised, targeted physical attacks increased sharply. The FTX collapse in 2022 produced the largest single cluster of vendor-lockout cases in the archive.

191 cases from this period are included in this archive. Coercion accounts for 30% of cases — the dominant stress pattern. 73% of determinate cases resulted in a blocked outcome.

69
Blocked
13
Constrained
12
Survived
97
Indeterminate

87% of determinate cases resulted in blocked or constrained access.

191 observed cases
Blocked
69 (36%)
Constrained
13 (7%)
Survived
12 (6%)
Indeterminate
97 (51%)
Remy St Felix Multi-State Bitcoin Home Invasion Ring — 11 Victims, $3.5M, 2022–2023
Exchange custody
Blocked 2022
Between late 2020 and July 2023, a criminal organisation led by Remy Ra St Felix, 25, of West Palm Beach Florida conducted a systematic campaign of SIM-swap fra
Vinay Naik Kidnapped in Pune for $50M Bitcoin Ransom
Unknown custody system
Indeterminate 2022
Vinay Naik was kidnapped in February 2022 in Pune, India, by an organized group of eight individuals, including at least one officer from local law enforcement.
Ilya Basin: Crypto Consultant Attacked in Targeted Brooklyn Home Invasion
Unknown custody system
Indeterminate 2022
In February 2022, Ilya Basin, a cryptocurrency consultant based in Brooklyn, New York, was subjected to a violent home invasion. Attackers forcibly restrained h
Barrie Kidnapping: Victim Coerced for $1 Million Bitcoin Ransom
Unknown custody system
Indeterminate 2022
In November 2022, a woman identified as A.T. was kidnapped in Barrie, Ontario, Canada. Her captors restrained her to a chair, inflicted physical trauma includin
Hoboken Teacher Resists Home Invasion and €3M Bitcoin Coercion Attempt
Hardware wallet (single key)
Survived 2022
In January 2022, three men forcibly entered the home of a 34-year-old secondary school teacher in Hoboken, Belgium. The attackers' stated objective was to coerc
Osaka Gang Kidnaps and Tortures Gym Member for Cryptocurrency
Unknown custody system
Blocked 2022
In June 2022, a criminal gang operating in Osaka, Japan carried out a kidnapping and torture case targeting a fellow gym member for the purpose of stealing cryp
Little Elm, Texas Home Invasion: $1.4M Hardware Wallet Sought but Not Found
Hardware wallet (single key)
Survived 2022
In December 2022, armed home invaders broke into a residential property in Little Elm, Texas, and subjected the occupants to approximately three hours of tortur
Deribit $28M Hot Wallet Compromise — November 2022 — No Client Loss
Exchange custody
Constrained 2022
On November 1, 2022, Deribit, a leading cryptocurrency derivatives exchange specializing in Bitcoin and Ethereum options, discovered that its hot wallet had bee
LCX Hot Wallet Compromised: $6.8M Stolen, $1.3M Recovered Through Blockchain Tracing
Exchange custody
Constrained 2022
On January 9, 2022, LCX, a Liechtenstein-based cryptocurrency exchange operating under Financial Market Authority licensing, discovered that one of its hot wall
Lost 3 of 12 Mnemonic Words With Unknown Word Order — Brute-Force Recovery Attempted
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2022
In early 2022, a Bitcoin holder discovered they had lost three words from a twelve-word mnemonic seed phrase and could not reliably recall the order of the rema
Russian Couple Forced to Transfer Bitcoin Under Armed Coercion — September 2022
Software wallet
Blocked 2022
In September 2022, a Russian couple experienced a custody failure driven by physical coercion rather than technical or administrative error. Six attackers ambus
150 BTC Passphrase Lost — No Recovery Method Available
Software wallet
Blocked 2022
On August 19, 2022, a user posted to Bitcoin Stack Exchange describing loss of access to a Bitcoin Core wallet containing 150 BTC (valued at approximately €3.2
Bitcoin Armory Private Key Lost After Health Issue: 60 BTC Inaccessible
Software wallet
Blocked 2022
In May 2022, a Bitcoin holder reported losing access to approximately 60 Bitcoin stored in Bitcoin Armory since 2014. The loss occurred following a health probl
Electrum Android Wallet Recovered With Seed, But Balance Remained Zero
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2022
On or before January 10, 2022, a user identified as zykera58 lost a mobile phone containing an Electrum wallet. The user retained both the wallet password and t
John Forsyth Kidnapped and Coerced in Missouri: Crypto Founder Bridge Threat
Unknown custody system
Indeterminate 2022
In February 2022, John Forsyth, a cryptocurrency company founder based in Missouri, was kidnapped by assailants who zip-tied him and threatened to throw him off
Phuket Kidnapping: Two Crypto Workers Robbed Under Duress (December 2022)
Unknown custody system
Blocked 2022
In December 2022, two men employed in the cryptocurrency sector were kidnapped in Phuket, Thailand and subsequently robbed by their abductors. The incident was
Three Arrows Capital Collapse: $10B Fund, $3.5B Frozen Claims, Founder Flight
Institutional custody
Blocked 2022
Three Arrows Capital, founded in 2012 by Zhu Su and Kyle Davies, operated as a cryptocurrency investment fund managing approximately $10 billion in assets throu
Genesis Global Capital Freezes $900M in Gemini Earn Bitcoin — Retail Users Locked Out
Exchange custody
Constrained 2022
Throughout 2022, Genesis Global Capital—the cryptocurrency lending subsidiary of Digital Currency Group—accumulated exposure to failing counterparties and deter
Armory Wallet Access Loss: Keyboard Malfunction During Password Entry
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2022
In 2022, a Bitcoin user created an Armory wallet intending to relocate funds to more secure storage. During password setup, the user's keyboard malfunctioned, f
Arjun Bhargav Lucknow: 8 BTC Extorted Under Torture
Software wallet
Blocked 2022
In August 2022, Arjun Bhargav, a realtor based in Vrindavan Yojana, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, was abducted by three assailants who subjected him to torture in ord
BlockFi Chapter 11: 100,000+ Creditors, $355M Crypto Frozen After FTX Collapse
Exchange custody
Constrained 2022
BlockFi, a centralized lending platform that accepted customer deposits of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, announced a withdrawal halt on November 10, 2022,
AES256-CBC Encrypted Wallet: Partial Password Loss and Brute-Force Recovery
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2022
In July 2022, a Bitcoin holder posted to Stack Exchange describing an AES256-CBC encrypted wallet protected by a 15-character passphrase combining uppercase, lo
Corrupted wallet.dat Data Recovery Attempt: Multi-Tool Failure After Hard Drive Format
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2022
In November 2022, a Bitcoin holder discovered that a hard drive containing a wallet.dat file from approximately 2012–2014 had been formatted years earlier. Reco
Incomplete Seed Phrase and Lost Password: Electrum Wallet Recovery Blocked
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2022
In April 2022, a BitcoinTalk user reported a custody failure affecting their brother's Electrum wallet. The brother had stored a 12-word BIP39 mnemonic phrase i
BitcoinTalk Bounty: $10,000 Offered for Forgotten Wallet Password Recovery
Unknown custody system
Indeterminate 2022
In April 2022, a BitcoinTalk forum user posting as 'walletrecovery' published a bounty thread offering $10,000 to anyone who could help recover a Bitcoin wallet
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Halving cycles
Terms guide
Survived
Access remained possible under the reported conditions.
Constrained
Access remained possible, but only with delay, dependence, or significant difficulty.
Blocked
Access was not possible under the reported conditions.
Indeterminate
There was not enough information to determine the outcome.
Survivability
The degree to which a custody system maintains the possibility of authorized recovery under stress.
Archive inclusion criteria

This archive documents cases where a legitimate owner, heir, or authorized party encountered barriers accessing or recovering Bitcoin due to a failure in the custody arrangement. The central question for inclusion is: did the custody structure fail a legitimate access or recovery attempt?

A case must satisfy all three of the following to be included:

  1. Legitimate access attempt. The person attempting to access or recover the Bitcoin was the owner, a designated heir, an executor, a legal authority, or another party with a legitimate claim — not a thief, attacker, or unauthorized third party.
  2. Custody structure failure. The failure was caused by a property of the custody arrangement — missing credentials, structural dependencies, documentation gaps, knowledge concentration, legal barriers, or institutional constraints — not market conditions, individual-level fraud or theft, or protocol-level issues. Platform-level failures that block legitimate user access are in scope regardless of their cause.
  3. Documentable outcome or access constraint. The case must have a stated or inferable outcome: access blocked, access constrained, access delayed, or access eventually achieved through a recovery path. Cases with entirely unknown outcomes are included only where the structural failure is documented and the constraint is unambiguous.
  • Owner death or incapacity — Bitcoin held in self-custody that becomes inaccessible to heirs or designated parties because credentials, documentation, or operational knowledge were not transferred
  • Passphrase loss — BIP39 passphrase forgotten or unavailable, blocking access to a funded wallet even where the seed phrase is present
  • Seed phrase or wallet backup unavailable — no independent recovery path existed or the backup was destroyed, lost, or never created
  • Device loss without independent backup — hardware wallet, phone, or computer lost or destroyed with no recovery path outside the device
  • Documentation absent or ambiguous — heirs or executors cannot determine that Bitcoin exists, which wallet holds it, or how to access it
  • Knowledge concentration — only one person knew the procedure, passphrase, or access method; that person is dead, incapacitated, or unreachable
  • Multisig quorum failure — a threshold signature arrangement cannot be completed because signers are unavailable, uncooperative, incapacitated, or have lost their keys
  • Legal authority / access mismatch — a court order, probate ruling, or power of attorney establishes legal entitlement but provides no technical path to access
  • Institutional custody barrier — exchange or platform hacks, insolvency, regulatory seizure, or operational failure that caused a access constraint or failure for legitimate users, whether temporary, prolonged, or permanent. The failure of the custodian to remain available or solvent is itself the in-scope event.
  • Forced relocation or geographic constraint — physical access to a device or location required for recovery is blocked by displacement, border restrictions, or political circumstances
  • Coercion — the holder was compelled under threat to transfer Bitcoin or disclose credentials during an access event
  • Hidden asset discovery — heirs or executors locate a wallet or account but cannot access it due to missing credentials or operational knowledge
  • Market losses, investment losses, yield scheme losses, or Ponzi scheme losses
  • Hacks or theft targeting an individual's personal security (phishing, SIM swap, social engineering, malware) where the custody architecture itself did not fail
  • Unauthorized transfers where the holder's custody system was not the cause of the failure
  • Ordinary transaction mistakes — wrong-address sends, fee errors, mistaken amounts
  • Protocol-level failures — cryptographic vulnerabilities, consensus bugs, firmware integrity failures
  • Deliberate burns or tribute burns
  • Cases where the stated loss is unverifiable and no structural custody failure is described

Cases are drawn from public sources including forum posts, news reporting, court documents, academic research, and direct submissions. Each case is reviewed against the inclusion criteria above before publication. Source material is retained and available on request for documented cases.

The archive is observational and descriptive. It does not attempt to document all Bitcoin custody failures — only those meeting the criteria above with sufficient documentation to describe the structural failure and its outcome.

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