Part of the CustodyStress archive of observed Bitcoin custody incidents
Device Loss
Cases where a device containing wallet access was lost or stolen. Where a backup existed and recovery was attempted, the outcome is recorded; where no backup existed, outcome is typically blocked.
device loss cases show an 86% blocked rate among determinate outcomes. In most cases no viable recovery path existed.
Archive analysis — 16 cases
Outcomes
86% of determinate cases resulted in blocked access — 17 percentage points above the archive-wide average of 69%.
Documentation coverage
56% of cases have indeterminate outcomes — higher than the archive average of 43%.
Custody type
94% of cases involved software wallet, followed by hardware wallet (single key) at 6%.
Primary stress condition
50% of cases involve seed phrase unavailable. Device loss accounts for a further 44%.
Documentation
94% of cases had partial documentation — insufficient to complete recovery without the holder's direct involvement.
Structural dependency
100% of cases carry a device-dependent access dependency tag — the most common structural factor in this subset.
16 observed cases
Blocked
6 (38%)
Survived
1 (6%)
Indeterminate
9 (56%)
Lost Phone Containing All Wallets; $300 Trapped in Unknown Address
Software wallet
On July 7, 2025, a user copied what they believed to be their own wallet address from their phone's clipboard and sent $300 in Bitcoin to it. The transaction co
Phone Lost With 12-Word Recovery Phrase Stored: Permanent Bitcoin Loss
Software wallet
On April 4, 2022, a Bitcoin holder reported losing their mobile phone on which they had stored their 12-word recovery phrase. The user retained knowledge of the
240-Byte Android Wallet Backup from 2013: Recovery Path Unclear Without Passphrase
Software wallet
In October 2020, a Bitcoin holder reported losing the Android device containing their Bitcoin Wallet (Schildbach wallet) from late 2013. The only artifact remai
House Fire Destroyed Hardware Wallet: Single Point of Failure in Self-Custody
Hardware wallet (single key)
An individual experienced a house fire that destroyed approximately half their home and most possessions, including a Ledger hardware wallet containing under $1
Bitcoin Lost After Hard Drive Format: wallet.dat Unrecovered, Private Key Missing
Software wallet
A Bitcoin holder received cryptocurrency in 2013 via Bitcoin Core but did not understand the critical role of the wallet.dat file in securing access to funds. I
Bitcoin Core Wallet Lost When Computer Discarded Without Backup
Software wallet
In November 2017, a Bitcoin holder posted to Bitcoin Stack Exchange seeking recovery options after a critical custody failure. The user had purchased Bitcoin se
Bitcoin-Qt Wallet Shows Zero Balance After Windows Installation on SSD
Software wallet
In January 2014, a Bitcoin holder experienced a system failure (repeated Blue Screen of Death) on their PC. Rather than repair the existing installation, they p
2012 Bitcoin Core Wallet Lost to PC Crash: Backup Files Exist, Access Blocked
Software wallet
In August 2020, a Bitcoin holder posted to Bitcoin Stack Exchange describing a custody failure spanning eight years. The individual had downloaded a GUI miner o
Seed unavailable — Bitcoin Core (2012)
Software wallet
In the era before hierarchical deterministic wallets and seed phrases, Bitcoin holders using the original Bitcoin Core client stored their private keys in a sin
Hard Drive Discarded in Landfill: £4 Million Bitcoin Lost Without Backup
Software wallet
A UK individual reportedly discarded a hard drive containing Bitcoin assets valued at approximately £4 million GBP and subsequently attempted to locate and reco
Multibit Wallet Lost to Hard Drive Format Without Backup
Software wallet
In January 2015, a Multibit user experienced total loss of wallet access after formatting their hard drive due to computer problems. The user retained only an a
25 BTC Paper Wallet Destroyed by Fire and Water Exposure
Software wallet
A Bitcoin holder maintained 25 BTC on a paper wallet as their primary custody method. The holder attempted to protect this physical printout—which contained bot
Android Smartphone Theft: Bitcoin Recovery via Archived Email Wallet Backup
Software wallet
An Android smartphone user experienced theft of an older device worth approximately $80. The phone contained a mobile wallet application with roughly $150 in Bi
Water-Damaged Mobile Wallet: 0.25 BTC Inaccessible Without Seed Backup
Software wallet
A user accumulated approximately 0.25 bitcoins over several weeks through mobile mining activity, storing the funds directly in a mobile wallet application. The
MultiBit Classic USB Loss With Incomplete Backup Recovery Path
Software wallet
A Bitcoin holder experienced loss of a USB stick containing a MultiBit Classic wallet holding what they described as life-changing amounts of Bitcoin. The incid
Muun Mobile Wallet — 12,000 Satoshis Permanently Inaccessible After Phone Loss and Missing Recovery Key
Software wallet
A Bitcoin user with approximately 12,000 satoshis stored in a Muun mobile wallet lost the phone on which the wallet was installed. The user had not created or r
Trigger categories
Forgotten Passphrase
Physical Coercion
Institutional Failure
Device Discarded
Seed Never Recorded
File Deleted — No Backup
Passphrase Never Recorded
Device Loss Without Backup
Owner Death
Passphrase Unavailable
Exchange Collapse
Exchange KYC / Account Lockout
Passphrase Loss
Credential Loss
Platform Failure
Hardware Wallet PIN Loss
File Corruption
Institutional Custody Failure
Seed Backup Unavailable
All cases
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