CustodyStress
Archive › Outcome states › Indeterminate
Part of the CustodyStress archive of observed Bitcoin custody incidents

Indeterminate

Cases where the outcome could not be determined from available public documentation. The structural failure is documented but whether access was ever restored is unknown.

389 observed cases
Indeterminate
389 (100%)
Forgotten wallet.dat Password: 13.8 BTC Locked Since 2013
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2018
On 2 March 2018, a Bitcoin holder identified as fabriciofenenga posted to the Bitcoin Technical Support forum seeking password recovery assistance for a wallet.
Ledger Nano S: 23 of 24 Mnemonic Words with Passphrase, Missing Final Word
Hardware wallet with passphrase
Indeterminate 2018
In May 2018, a Ledger Nano S user accidentally wiped their device during testing and discovered they had retained 23 of 24 seed words, written down in order, pl
PIVX Encrypted Wallet Access Failure After System Update and Forced Shutdown
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2018
In May 2018, a user encrypted a PIVX wallet using PIVX Core version 3.1.0.2 on Windows 64-bit and confirmed the passphrase worked across multiple unlock cycles
131 BTC Inaccessible: Forgotten Wallet Password, No Recovery Mechanism
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2018
In December 2018, a BitcoinTalk user known as 'jackang' posted a public plea for help recovering access to a wallet containing 131 BTC. The wallet had been crea
Blockchain.info Wallet Access Lost After Signup—Recovery Phrase Known
Exchange custody
Indeterminate 2018
On March 16, 2018, a user with the handle ilovegambling created a new Blockchain.info wallet to receive Bitcoin from an online betting platform. The user record
College-Era Bitcoin Miner: Wallet.dat Recovered, But Addresses Empty
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2018
In early 2018, a Bitcoin Forum user identified as cdcine sought help recovering Bitcoin he had mined during his college years using Bitcoin Core version 0.3.23,
4 BTC Inaccessible in BIP38-Encrypted Paper Wallet After Passphrase Loss
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2018
In February 2018, a Bitcoin holder discovered that access to 4 BTC distributed across three BIP38-encrypted paper wallet addresses had become impossible due to
Ledger Nano S Seed Phrase Transcription Error: Duplicate Words at Positions 9 and 12
Hardware wallet (single key)
Indeterminate 2018
In September 2018, a BitcoinTalk user identified as efreeet reported a custody access failure on a Ledger Nano S hardware wallet. The user had originally genera
Corrupted wallet.dat Recovery from 2009 Hard Drive: Hex Search Method
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2018
In January 2018, a BitcoinTalk user reported discovering a hard drive containing a wallet.dat file created during 2009 Bitcoin mining. The drive had suffered si
Lost Final Word of Ledger Nano S 24-Word Seed: 110,000 Dogecoin Case
Hardware wallet (single key)
Indeterminate 2018
On March 8, 2018, a BitcoinTalk forum user identified as Ma1k reported losing the 24th word of a Ledger Nano S BIP39 recovery seed phrase. The loss occurred aft
Bitcoin Knots Wallet Access Lost After SSD Migration: wallet.dat Location Mismatch
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2018
In May 2018, an inexperienced Bitcoin user (mortamuerte) initiated blockchain synchronization using Bitcoin Knots, a Bitcoin Core fork, on a laptop SSD. Partway
Danny Aston Home Invasion: UK's First Documented Crypto-Targeted Physical Attack — 2018
Unknown custody system
Indeterminate 2018
On an unspecified date in 2018, four armed men invaded the Moulsford, Oxfordshire residence of cryptocurrency trader Danny Aston. The assault was motivated by a
Electrum Wallet Lost to Laptop Hardware Failure: No Seed Phrase Backup
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2018
On October 12, 2018, a BitcoinTalk forum user identified as Chabole007 reported losing access to an Electrum software wallet after their laptop experienced hard
Mobile Wallet Loss: Phone Format Destroys All Recovery Credentials
Exchange custody
Indeterminate 2018
On April 22, 2018, BitcoinTalk forum user Calypso_Dame reported a critical custody access failure resulting from a mobile phone format operation. The user had r
BitcoinTalk User: Encrypted Wallet.dat Passphrase Lost, Recovery Deemed Infeasible
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2018
In January 2018, a BitcoinTalk forum user identified as moztec reported an access failure involving a wallet.dat file encrypted with Bitcoin Core. The user had
Ledger Nano S Application Loss With Missing Seed Phrase Backup
Hardware wallet (single key)
Indeterminate 2018
On May 9, 2018, a BitcoinTalk Hardware Wallets forum user (bPatrick401) disclosed a custody access failure involving a Ledger Nano S device. The incident began
Encrypted Wallet, Forgotten Passphrase: Self-Custody Encryption Without Backup
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2018
On January 14, 2018, BitcoinTalk user AsJoshScreams posted a recovery plea for an encrypted cryptocurrency wallet. The user had encrypted their private key with
Blockchain.info Wallet Password Lost, No Seed Backup: Recovery Blocked
Exchange custody
Indeterminate 2018
In July 2018, a Bitcoin holder transferred funds to his wife's blockchain.info mobile wallet during a phone transition. The wife subsequently forgot the wallet
Mycelium Bitcoin Access Loss: PIN Change and Seed Phrase Recovery Confusion
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2017
In November 2017, a Mycelium wallet user (AdunToridas) encountered a critical access loss incident after routine account maintenance. The user had created a Myc
Armory Paper Backup Recovery Displays Zero Balance Despite Correct Restoration
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2017
In November 2017, user xTwin25 initiated recovery of Bitcoin holdings stored in Armory, a desktop software wallet. The user possessed a paper backup containing
7 BTC Lost After Address Disappearance on Blockchain.info Web Wallet
Exchange custody
Indeterminate 2017
In August 2017, a BitcoinTalk forum user reported a significant loss involving approximately 7 BTC stored on Blockchain.info. The user had migrated from Bitcoin
Lost Android Wallet.dat After Device Wipe and Lending — No Backup
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2017
In December 2017, a BitcoinTalk user identified as dandyret described losing access to a Bitcoin wallet stored on an Android phone. The user had wiped the devic
MultiBit 0.5.15 Forgotten Passphrase: Desktop Wallet Access Lost
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2017
On November 3, 2017, a pseudonymous BitcoinTalk forum user identified as 'dny18' posted a help request in the MultiBit archival section, stating they had forgot
Inherited Encrypted Bitcoin Wallet from 2012: Passphrase Lost After Parent's Death
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2017
Following his mother's death in late 2017, a BitcoinTalk user (umadbro) recovered hard drives from his parent's defunct desktop computer and discovered wallet.d
Bitcoin Core Wallet Database Lost After Disk-Full Error — Recovery Unknown
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2017
In November 2017, a Bitcoin Core user encountered a critical custody failure after receiving a 'no more free disk space' error notification while attempting to
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Outcome states
Terms guide
Survived
Access remained possible under the reported conditions.
Constrained
Access remained possible, but only with delay, dependence, or significant difficulty.
Blocked
Access was not possible under the reported conditions.
Indeterminate
There was not enough information to determine the outcome.
Survivability
The degree to which a custody system maintains the possibility of authorized recovery under stress.
Archive inclusion criteria

This archive documents cases where a legitimate owner, heir, or authorized party encountered barriers accessing or recovering Bitcoin due to a failure in the custody arrangement. The central question for inclusion is: did the custody structure fail a legitimate access or recovery attempt?

A case must satisfy all three of the following to be included:

  1. Legitimate access attempt. The person attempting to access or recover the Bitcoin was the owner, a designated heir, an executor, a legal authority, or another party with a legitimate claim — not a thief, attacker, or unauthorized third party.
  2. Custody structure failure. The failure was caused by a property of the custody arrangement — missing credentials, structural dependencies, documentation gaps, knowledge concentration, legal barriers, or institutional constraints — not market conditions, individual-level fraud or theft, or protocol-level issues. Platform-level failures that block legitimate user access are in scope regardless of their cause.
  3. Documentable outcome or access constraint. The case must have a stated or inferable outcome: access blocked, access constrained, access delayed, or access eventually achieved through a recovery path. Cases with entirely unknown outcomes are included only where the structural failure is documented and the constraint is unambiguous.
  • Owner death or incapacity — Bitcoin held in self-custody that becomes inaccessible to heirs or designated parties because credentials, documentation, or operational knowledge were not transferred
  • Passphrase loss — BIP39 passphrase forgotten or unavailable, blocking access to a funded wallet even where the seed phrase is present
  • Seed phrase or wallet backup unavailable — no independent recovery path existed or the backup was destroyed, lost, or never created
  • Device loss without independent backup — hardware wallet, phone, or computer lost or destroyed with no recovery path outside the device
  • Documentation absent or ambiguous — heirs or executors cannot determine that Bitcoin exists, which wallet holds it, or how to access it
  • Knowledge concentration — only one person knew the procedure, passphrase, or access method; that person is dead, incapacitated, or unreachable
  • Multisig quorum failure — a threshold signature arrangement cannot be completed because signers are unavailable, uncooperative, incapacitated, or have lost their keys
  • Legal authority / access mismatch — a court order, probate ruling, or power of attorney establishes legal entitlement but provides no technical path to access
  • Institutional custody barrier — exchange or platform hacks, insolvency, regulatory seizure, or operational failure that caused a access constraint or failure for legitimate users, whether temporary, prolonged, or permanent. The failure of the custodian to remain available or solvent is itself the in-scope event.
  • Forced relocation or geographic constraint — physical access to a device or location required for recovery is blocked by displacement, border restrictions, or political circumstances
  • Coercion — the holder was compelled under threat to transfer Bitcoin or disclose credentials during an access event
  • Hidden asset discovery — heirs or executors locate a wallet or account but cannot access it due to missing credentials or operational knowledge
  • Market losses, investment losses, yield scheme losses, or Ponzi scheme losses
  • Hacks or theft targeting an individual's personal security (phishing, SIM swap, social engineering, malware) where the custody architecture itself did not fail
  • Unauthorized transfers where the holder's custody system was not the cause of the failure
  • Ordinary transaction mistakes — wrong-address sends, fee errors, mistaken amounts
  • Protocol-level failures — cryptographic vulnerabilities, consensus bugs, firmware integrity failures
  • Deliberate burns or tribute burns
  • Cases where the stated loss is unverifiable and no structural custody failure is described

Cases are drawn from public sources including forum posts, news reporting, court documents, academic research, and direct submissions. Each case is reviewed against the inclusion criteria above before publication. Source material is retained and available on request for documented cases.

The archive is observational and descriptive. It does not attempt to document all Bitcoin custody failures — only those meeting the criteria above with sufficient documentation to describe the structural failure and its outcome.