CustodyStress
Archive › Outcome states › Indeterminate
Part of the CustodyStress archive of observed Bitcoin custody incidents

Indeterminate

Cases where the outcome could not be determined from available public documentation. The structural failure is documented but whether access was ever restored is unknown.

389 observed cases
Indeterminate
389 (100%)
2011 Bitcoin Wallet Lost After Hard Drive Formatted Twice: Passphrase Retained, File Unrecoverable
Software wallet
Indeterminate
In 2011, an individual purchased Bitcoin and generated a wallet using Bitcoin-Qt or a similar early desktop client software. The wallet created an encrypted wal
MultiBit Classic USB Loss With Incomplete Backup Recovery Path
Software wallet
Indeterminate
A Bitcoin holder experienced loss of a USB stick containing a MultiBit Classic wallet holding what they described as life-changing amounts of Bitcoin. The incid
Son Inherits 14 BTC on Blockchain.com After Father's Death — All Access Credentials Lost
Exchange custody
Indeterminate
A son discovered approximately 14 BTC held in a Blockchain.com custodial wallet following his father's death. The father had secured the account with a password
Widow Seeks Bitcoin Recovery After Husband's Death—Documentation Incomplete
Unknown custody system
Indeterminate
A widow contacted the Bitcoin community forum following her husband's sudden and unexpected death. She had discovered a list of usernames and passwords he maint
BlockTrail Wallet Recovery Blocked: Paper Backup Orphaned After Service Discontinuation
Multisig (self-managed)
Indeterminate
A Bitcoin holder discovered a printed paper backup from BlockTrail, a non-custodial wallet service that used 2-of-3 multisig and hierarchical deterministic key
3000 BTC Mined on Pentium 3: Multiple Reformatted Drives, Wallet Location Unknown
Software wallet
Indeterminate
During Bitcoin's early years, this user established mining operations on a Pentium 3 computer and accumulated approximately 3000 BTC before ceasing work as netw
House Fire Destroyed Mycelium Mobile Wallet: 1.1 BTC With Unrecorded 15-Character Passphrase
Software wallet
Indeterminate
A Bitcoin holder maintained 1.1 BTC in a Mycelium mobile wallet on an Android device, secured by a 15-character passphrase created over three years before the i
Unverified Wallet File Recovery After Drive Format: 2010 GPU-Mined Bitcoin
Software wallet
Indeterminate
In 2010, during Bitcoin's GPU-mining era, the user mined a small quantity of Bitcoin on a desktop computer. Years later, the user deleted the wallet.dat file an
Trezor Hardware Wallet: Passphrase Forgotten, Recovery Seed Insufficient
Hardware wallet with passphrase
Indeterminate
A Bitcoin holder configured a Trezor hardware wallet using both a 24-word recovery seed and an optional passphrase feature for additional security. When returni
Mycelium Wallet Uninstalled During Device Reset Without Seed Phrase Export
Software wallet
Indeterminate
A user stored Bitcoin in Mycelium, a mobile wallet application for Android. The device developed malware infections requiring routine maintenance and factory re
Electrum 2-of-3 Multisig Wallet Lost: Recovery With 2 of 3 Private Keys
Multisig (self-managed)
Indeterminate
In August 2019, a Bitcoin holder created a 2-of-3 multisig wallet using Electrum and transferred funds to it. The user subsequently lost access to the Electrum
Intestate Bitcoin Mining Estate: Hard Drives Held by Son, Flash Drives by Sister, No Passwords
Software wallet
Indeterminate
In February 2020, a man in his 50s lost his father to COVID-19. The father, in his 80s, had been actively involved in Bitcoin mining—a shared technical interest
Bitcoin-Qt Wallet Recovery for Israel Supreme Court Legal Proceedings
Software wallet
Indeterminate
Roy Arav, an Israeli citizen, sued his bank in 2018 over its refusal to process cryptocurrency-related transfers. He won in Israel's District Court in February
Corrupted Encrypted Wallet.dat: 100 BTC Recovery Attempt via Pywallet
Software wallet
Indeterminate
A user identified as chunglam posted on BitcoinTalk seeking assistance recovering approximately 100 BTC stored in a corrupted wallet.dat file protected by Bitco
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Outcome states
Terms guide
Survived
Access remained possible under the reported conditions.
Constrained
Access remained possible, but only with delay, dependence, or significant difficulty.
Blocked
Access was not possible under the reported conditions.
Indeterminate
There was not enough information to determine the outcome.
Survivability
The degree to which a custody system maintains the possibility of authorized recovery under stress.
Archive inclusion criteria

This archive documents cases where a legitimate owner, heir, or authorized party encountered barriers accessing or recovering Bitcoin due to a failure in the custody arrangement. The central question for inclusion is: did the custody structure fail a legitimate access or recovery attempt?

A case must satisfy all three of the following to be included:

  1. Legitimate access attempt. The person attempting to access or recover the Bitcoin was the owner, a designated heir, an executor, a legal authority, or another party with a legitimate claim — not a thief, attacker, or unauthorized third party.
  2. Custody structure failure. The failure was caused by a property of the custody arrangement — missing credentials, structural dependencies, documentation gaps, knowledge concentration, legal barriers, or institutional constraints — not market conditions, individual-level fraud or theft, or protocol-level issues. Platform-level failures that block legitimate user access are in scope regardless of their cause.
  3. Documentable outcome or access constraint. The case must have a stated or inferable outcome: access blocked, access constrained, access delayed, or access eventually achieved through a recovery path. Cases with entirely unknown outcomes are included only where the structural failure is documented and the constraint is unambiguous.
  • Owner death or incapacity — Bitcoin held in self-custody that becomes inaccessible to heirs or designated parties because credentials, documentation, or operational knowledge were not transferred
  • Passphrase loss — BIP39 passphrase forgotten or unavailable, blocking access to a funded wallet even where the seed phrase is present
  • Seed phrase or wallet backup unavailable — no independent recovery path existed or the backup was destroyed, lost, or never created
  • Device loss without independent backup — hardware wallet, phone, or computer lost or destroyed with no recovery path outside the device
  • Documentation absent or ambiguous — heirs or executors cannot determine that Bitcoin exists, which wallet holds it, or how to access it
  • Knowledge concentration — only one person knew the procedure, passphrase, or access method; that person is dead, incapacitated, or unreachable
  • Multisig quorum failure — a threshold signature arrangement cannot be completed because signers are unavailable, uncooperative, incapacitated, or have lost their keys
  • Legal authority / access mismatch — a court order, probate ruling, or power of attorney establishes legal entitlement but provides no technical path to access
  • Institutional custody barrier — exchange or platform hacks, insolvency, regulatory seizure, or operational failure that caused a access constraint or failure for legitimate users, whether temporary, prolonged, or permanent. The failure of the custodian to remain available or solvent is itself the in-scope event.
  • Forced relocation or geographic constraint — physical access to a device or location required for recovery is blocked by displacement, border restrictions, or political circumstances
  • Coercion — the holder was compelled under threat to transfer Bitcoin or disclose credentials during an access event
  • Hidden asset discovery — heirs or executors locate a wallet or account but cannot access it due to missing credentials or operational knowledge
  • Market losses, investment losses, yield scheme losses, or Ponzi scheme losses
  • Hacks or theft targeting an individual's personal security (phishing, SIM swap, social engineering, malware) where the custody architecture itself did not fail
  • Unauthorized transfers where the holder's custody system was not the cause of the failure
  • Ordinary transaction mistakes — wrong-address sends, fee errors, mistaken amounts
  • Protocol-level failures — cryptographic vulnerabilities, consensus bugs, firmware integrity failures
  • Deliberate burns or tribute burns
  • Cases where the stated loss is unverifiable and no structural custody failure is described

Cases are drawn from public sources including forum posts, news reporting, court documents, academic research, and direct submissions. Each case is reviewed against the inclusion criteria above before publication. Source material is retained and available on request for documented cases.

The archive is observational and descriptive. It does not attempt to document all Bitcoin custody failures — only those meeting the criteria above with sufficient documentation to describe the structural failure and its outcome.

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