Part of the CustodyStress archive of observed Bitcoin custody incidents
Maturation Period (2020–2022) — Software wallet
Software wallet failures from the Maturation Period (2020–2022). All-time high prices drove adoption of mobile wallets as a first custody solution, producing a cohort with high passphrase and seed unavailability rates.
71 cases from this period are included in this archive. 96% of determinate cases resulted in a blocked outcome. The most frequently observed stress condition is passphrase-unavailable cases.
Archive analysis — 71 cases
Outcomes
96% of determinate cases resulted in blocked access — 27 percentage points above the archive-wide average of 69%. Only 4% resulted in recovered access — one of the lower survival rates in the archive.
Documentation coverage
65% of cases have indeterminate outcomes — higher than the archive average of 43%.
Primary stress condition
35% of cases involve passphrase unavailable. Seed phrase unavailable accounts for a further 24%.
Recovery path
Password Bruteforce is the most documented recovery path (17 cases, 24% of subset).
Documentation
66% of cases had partial documentation — insufficient to complete recovery without the holder's direct involvement.
Structural dependency
79% of cases carry a undocumented recovery procedure dependency tag — the most common structural factor in this subset.
24
Blocked
0
Constrained
1
Survived
46
Indeterminate
96% of determinate cases resulted in blocked or constrained access.
71 observed cases
Blocked
24 (34%)
Survived
1 (1%)
Indeterminate
46 (65%)
180 BTC Lost Due to Forgotten Custom SHA256 Passphrase; Year-Long Manual Recovery Attempt
Software wallet
In January 2022, a BitcoinTalk user (k844738i) disclosed a critical custody failure spanning approximately one year. The user had created a Bitcoin wallet years
Bitcoin Core Wallet Database Corruption: Berkeley DB Panic Blocks 2016 Backup Access
Software wallet
In January 2022, a BitcoinTalk user (cold_chardonnay) located a wallet.dat backup file from approximately 2016 stored on a backup disc. The user had minimal Bit
Lost 3 of 12 Mnemonic Words With Unknown Word Order — Brute-Force Recovery Attempted
Software wallet
In early 2022, a Bitcoin holder discovered they had lost three words from a twelve-word mnemonic seed phrase and could not reliably recall the order of the rema
Russian Couple Forced to Transfer Bitcoin Under Armed Coercion — September 2022
Software wallet
In September 2022, a Russian couple experienced a custody failure driven by physical coercion rather than technical or administrative error. Six attackers ambus
150 BTC Passphrase Lost — No Recovery Method Available
Software wallet
On August 19, 2022, a user posted to Bitcoin Stack Exchange describing loss of access to a Bitcoin Core wallet containing 150 BTC (valued at approximately €3.2
Bitcoin Armory Private Key Lost After Health Issue: 60 BTC Inaccessible
Software wallet
In May 2022, a Bitcoin holder reported losing access to approximately 60 Bitcoin stored in Bitcoin Armory since 2014. The loss occurred following a health probl
Electrum Android Wallet Recovered With Seed, But Balance Remained Zero
Software wallet
On or before January 10, 2022, a user identified as zykera58 lost a mobile phone containing an Electrum wallet. The user retained both the wallet password and t
Armory Wallet Access Loss: Keyboard Malfunction During Password Entry
Software wallet
In 2022, a Bitcoin user created an Armory wallet intending to relocate funds to more secure storage. During password setup, the user's keyboard malfunctioned, f
Arjun Bhargav Lucknow: 8 BTC Extorted Under Torture
Software wallet
In August 2022, Arjun Bhargav, a realtor based in Vrindavan Yojana, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, was abducted by three assailants who subjected him to torture in ord
AES256-CBC Encrypted Wallet: Partial Password Loss and Brute-Force Recovery
Software wallet
In July 2022, a Bitcoin holder posted to Stack Exchange describing an AES256-CBC encrypted wallet protected by a 15-character passphrase combining uppercase, lo
Corrupted wallet.dat Data Recovery Attempt: Multi-Tool Failure After Hard Drive Format
Software wallet
In November 2022, a Bitcoin holder discovered that a hard drive containing a wallet.dat file from approximately 2012–2014 had been formatted years earlier. Reco
Incomplete Seed Phrase and Lost Password: Electrum Wallet Recovery Blocked
Software wallet
In April 2022, a BitcoinTalk user reported a custody failure affecting their brother's Electrum wallet. The brother had stored a 12-word BIP39 mnemonic phrase i
Unencrypted 2010 Wallet.dat Corrupted Beyond Recovery
Software wallet
In March 2022, RBIT777 posted to a Bitcoin forum seeking help recovering a wallet created in 2010 on their hard drive. The wallet had never been encrypted—a com
Phone Lost With 12-Word Recovery Phrase Stored: Permanent Bitcoin Loss
Software wallet
On April 4, 2022, a Bitcoin holder reported losing their mobile phone on which they had stored their 12-word recovery phrase. The user retained knowledge of the
MultiBit Classic Wallet Password Lost, No Seed Phrase Documented (2014)
Software wallet
In January 2021, a user identified as mr_fish2021 recovered an old Windows computer containing a MultiBit Classic wallet created in 2014. The wallet held an und
14.5 BTC Stolen From bitcoinpaperwallet.com-Generated Wallet
Software wallet
In January 2021, a Bitcoin holder attempted to create a paper wallet using bitcoinpaperwallet.com. The user reported running the generator offline before sendin
Armory v0.88.1 Desktop Wallet: 50+ BTC Inaccessible Due to Forgotten Passphrase
Software wallet
In April 2021, a BitcoinTalk user identified as vect0rz reported losing access to an Armory v0.88.1 desktop wallet containing over 50 BTC. The wallet was create
Bitcoin Core Wallet: Encryption Mismatch Between Old Wallet Format and Modern Change Addresses
Software wallet
In early January 2021, a husband and wife discovered an old hard drive containing a Bitcoin Core wallet from prior mining operations and promotional credits. On
Physical Hard Drive Damage and wallet.dat Recovery via File Forensics
Software wallet
In March 2021, a BitcoinTalk user (zzcool) reported that a hard drive containing Bitcoin wallet data had physically fallen and sustained read errors. The device
Electrum Legacy Seed Phrase Recovery Attempt: 2013–2014 Bitcoin Gift Unresolved
Software wallet
In February 2021, a BitcoinTalk user reported attempting to recover Bitcoin his mother had received as a gift between 2013 and 2014 from an acquaintance. The gi
Mycelium Mobile Wallet: User Lost PIN Access
Software wallet
In May 2021, a BitcoinTalk forum user identified as VeneCzech posted a custody access failure in the Mycelium subforum. The user had lost access to their Bitcoi
Bitcoin Core Wallet Destroyed in Fire: Passphrase and Address Insufficient for Recovery
Software wallet
In February 2021, a Bitcoin Core user reported catastrophic loss of their wallet following a house fire. The hard drive containing the wallet was physically des
Incomplete BIP39 Seed Recovery: 11 Words, Missing Documentation, Unknown Outcome
Software wallet
On January 9, 2021, BitcoinTalk user P.hanseens posted a technical support request describing inaccessible Bitcoin secured by a 12-word BIP39 seed phrase with o
Bitcoin Core Wallet Encryption Passphrase Loss: Funds Trapped in Encrypted Keypool
Software wallet
In May 2021, a BitcoinTalk user reported a custody failure involving Bitcoin Core's wallet.dat encryption mechanism. The user had maintained an unencrypted wall
Bitcoin Core Wallet Password Access Anomaly: Selective Failure Across Change Outputs
Software wallet
In early January 2021, a couple recovered a legacy hard drive containing a Bitcoin Core wallet with accumulated mining rewards and promotional Bitcoin distribut
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Early Bitcoin (2009–2013) — Software wallet
Coercion Era (2023–present) — Software wallet
Maturation Period (2020–2022) — Exchange custody
Early Bitcoin (2009–2013) — Exchange custody
Coercion Era (2023–present) — Hardware wallet (single key)
Coercion Era (2023–present) — Exchange custody
Exchange Era (2014–2019) — Hardware wallet (single key)
Maturation Period (2020–2022) — Hardware wallet (single key)
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