Part of the CustodyStress archive of observed Bitcoin custody incidents
Passphrase Dependency
Cases where a BIP39 passphrase or secondary credential was required and was unavailable, forgotten, or not communicated to recovery parties.
Passphrase dependency cases have a 68% blocked rate among determinate outcomes, lower than structural dependencies that eliminate all alternate paths. Password bruteforce is the dominant recovery path — succeeding where the passphrase was a recognisable variation of something the holder previously used.
Archive analysis — 414 cases
Outcomes
68% of determinate cases resulted in blocked access, close to the archive-wide average of 69%. 27% resulted in recovered access — above the archive average.
Documentation coverage
59% of cases have indeterminate outcomes — higher than the archive average of 43%.
Custody type
63% of cases involved software wallet, followed by exchange custody at 20%.
Primary stress condition
52% of cases involve passphrase unavailable. Seed phrase unavailable accounts for a further 15%.
Recovery path
Password Bruteforce is the most documented recovery path (102 cases, 25% of subset). Of those with a determinate outcome, 89% resulted in recovered or constrained access.
Documentation
76% of cases had partial documentation — insufficient to complete recovery without the holder's direct involvement.
114
Blocked
8
Constrained
46
Survived
246
Indeterminate
73% of determinate cases resulted in blocked or constrained access.
414 observed cases
Blocked
114 (28%)
Constrained
8 (2%)
Survived
46 (11%)
Indeterminate
246 (59%)
Forgotten wallet.dat Password Blocks Access to Early Bitcoin Holdings
Software wallet
In February 2026, forum user lacuanto reported a custody access failure involving Bitcoin purchased during 2010–2011. The user had located an encrypted wallet.d
Incomplete Seed Backup + Device Loss: ipsbruno3's GPU-Powered Recovery Attempt
Software wallet
ipsbruno3 has held Bitcoin since 2013 and stored the majority in a wallet protected by a 12-word BIP39 seed phrase. The holder implemented a four-layer backup s
Bitcoin Kidnapping: Italian National Tortured 17 Days for $28M Wallet Access
Software wallet
In May 2025, Nicola Carturan, an Italian national, was abducted and held captive for approximately 17 days in a luxury townhouse in Manhattan's SoHo district by
Freebitco.in Account Lockout: Password Reset Emails Failed During Platform Collapse
Exchange custody
In October 2025, a long-term Freebitco.in user identified as Lawliet82 reported sudden account access denial despite knowing the correct password and having suc
Armory Wallet Passphrase Loss: 2 BTC, Recovery Script Dependencies Unresolved
Software wallet
In January 2025, a BitcoinTalk forum user identified as Ronnie666 disclosed possession of an encrypted Armory .wallet file containing 2 BTC, estimated then at $
Los Angeles Wildfire Destroys Only Seed Phrase Backup — Total Loss
Software wallet
In January 2025, a Reddit user reported that their 70-year-old aunt had lost her entire cryptocurrency savings during the Los Angeles wildfires. The aunt had st
Blockchain.info Legacy Wallet Recovery: Partial Success via btcrecover, Platform Access Blocked
Exchange custody
Between 2013 and 2015, a user in Taiwan established multiple Blockchain.info wallets and created printed paper backups containing wallet GUIDs, passwords, and 1
Mycelium iOS Wallet: Seed Verification Failure and Transaction Blocking
Software wallet
On July 14, 2025, BitcoinTalk user Obdmageek reported a six-month custody failure involving a Mycelium iOS wallet. The user retained apparent access to their ac
Electrum Seed Phrase Verified but Funds Inaccessible: Derivation Path Recovery Failure
Software wallet
In July 2025, the user 'nodc3' created a Bitcoin wallet using Electrum on macOS and deposited a small amount. Initial backup verification succeeded: the wallet
Forgotten Passphrase on Legacy wallet.dat: 1 BTC Recovery Attempt via Brute Force
Software wallet
In July 2025, a BitcoinTalk user identified as Maidak discovered an old wallet.dat file from years prior containing approximately 1 BTC. The wallet had been enc
Pre-HD Bitcoin Core Wallet Lost in OS Upgrade: Backup Strategy Failure
Software wallet
In June 2025, a Bitcoin forum user reported a custody failure involving a Bitcoin Core wallet created circa 2014, during the era before hierarchical determinist
Recovering Bitcoin from Encrypted 2013 Mt. Gox-Era Wallet.dat Without Passphrase
Software wallet
In early January 2025, a BitcoinTalk forum user ('thowed-away-agin') disclosed possession of an encrypted wallet.dat file originating from the Mt. Gox era (2013
Partial Seed Backup + Missing Passphrase Flag: BTCRecover Recovery Success
Software wallet
gab0miner created an Electrum wallet offline using a Linux Live CD on an unspecified date, recording only 11 of the required 12 BIP39 seed words into KeePass al
Saint-Genis-Pouilly Kidnapping: Crypto Influencer's Father Targeted for Bitcoin Ransom
Unknown custody system
In late December 2024, the father of a cryptocurrency influencer was kidnapped in Saint-Genis-Pouilly, a commune in the Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes region bordering Sw
Taehwa Kim: Kidnapped Bitcoin Trader Resists Coercion in Philippines
Hardware wallet (single key)
Taehwa Kim, a Korean Bitcoin trader, was kidnapped in Makati, Philippines in January 2025. He was held hostage for three days by assailants who sought to extrac
San Francisco Home Invasion: $11M Cryptocurrency Stolen at Gunpoint
Hardware wallet (single key)
In November 2025, an armed robber entered a residential home in San Francisco by posing as a delivery worker. The attacker subdued the homeowner by tying them u
Danylo K. Tortured and Killed in Vienna After Revealing Crypto Wallets
Unknown custody system
In November 2025, Danylo K., identified as the son of the mayor of Kharkiv, Ukraine, was subjected to torture by a fellow student in Vienna, Austria. The perpet
Armed Home Invasion: Family Forced to Complete $36K Crypto Transfer Under Duress
Software wallet
In September 2025, two armed brothers from Texas invaded a home in Grant, Minnesota and held the occupants hostage at gunpoint for approximately nine hours. The
Tierp Farming Family Robbed of Millions in Cryptocurrency — Four Arrested
Hardware wallet (single key)
In September 2025, Swedish police arrested four individuals in connection with an armed robbery of a farming family near Tierp, Sweden. The victims lost million
Trezor Model T Passphrase Loss: 0.7175 BTC On-Chain, Inaccessible
Hardware wallet with passphrase
In late December 2025, jwsutherland transferred approximately 0.7175 BTC from the Canadian exchange Newton to a native SegWit (bech32) address generated by a Tr
Inherited Bitcoin Core Wallet with Forgotten Passphrase: No Technical Recovery
Software wallet
In May 2025, a user posted to Bitcoin Stack Exchange describing an inheritance custody failure: their father created a Bitcoin Core wallet years prior and then
Jacob Irwin-Cline Drugged in London, $123K in Bitcoin and XRP Stolen
Software wallet
In May 2025, Jacob Irwin-Cline, an American tourist visiting London, was targeted by an attacker who posed as an Uber driver. The assailant drugged Irwin-Cline
Blockchain.com Email Takeover and Account Lockout: Recovery Phrase Insufficient
Exchange custody
Osiris100 created a Blockchain wallet in 2014 and retained the welcome email and wallet ID. In 2017, a verification email arrived unsigned, followed by two logi
Ledger Nano S with Incomplete 9-Word Seed Screenshot—$10K Inaccessible
Hardware wallet (single key)
In March 2024, a BitcoinTalk forum user (Ausnoobi) posted on behalf of their partner seeking recovery assistance for a Ledger Nano S hardware wallet purchased a
Blockchain.info Legacy Wallet Second Password Loss with Proprietary Mnemonic Incompatibility
Exchange custody
On December 17, 2024, a Bitcoin forum user discovered a Dropbox backup containing a 20-word mnemonic seed phrase and login credentials (email, password, wallet
Structural dependencies
By stress condition
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