Part of the CustodyStress archive of observed Bitcoin custody incidents
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Seed phrase unavailable
Bitcoin custody cases involving halving cycle 3 (2017–2020) and seed phrase unavailable.
38 cases in this intersection. 87% of determinate cases resulted in a blocked outcome and 13% in access survived. The most common recovery path is no path available.
Archive analysis — 38 cases
Outcomes
87% of determinate cases resulted in blocked access — 18 percentage points above the archive-wide average of 69%.
Documentation coverage
61% of cases have indeterminate outcomes — higher than the archive average of 43%.
Custody type
58% of cases involved software wallet, followed by hardware wallet (single key) at 21%.
Documentation
76% of cases had partial documentation — insufficient to complete recovery without the holder's direct involvement.
Structural dependency
95% of cases carry a device-dependent access dependency tag — the most common structural factor in this subset.
13
Blocked
0
Constrained
2
Survived
23
Indeterminate
87% of determinate cases resulted in blocked or constrained access.
38 observed cases
Blocked
13 (34%)
Survived
2 (5%)
Indeterminate
23 (61%)
2,000 BTC Lost in Atomic Wallet: Recovery Phrase Gone After OS Reinstall
Software wallet
In September 2020, a BitcoinTalk user posted a custody access failure involving approximately 2,000 BTC held in an Atomic wallet. The user had lost their 12-wor
Missing 2 of 12 Mnemonic Words: Brute Force Recovery Feasibility
Hardware wallet (single key)
In March 2020, a Bitcoin holder wrote their 12-word BIP39 mnemonic on paper. During storage or handling, the last two words were torn away and lost, leaving onl
Unknown 12-Word Seed Phrase From 2009–2011: Verifying Custody and Access
Unknown custody system
SheriffBass posted on BitcoinTalk in August 2020 describing possession of a 12-word numbered seed phrase allegedly created between 2009 and 2011, with unclear p
Wallet.dat Corruption and Salvage Failure After Bitcoin.org Wallet Import
Software wallet
An individual who ran Bitcoin software during 2009 and 2010 located an old data file (renamed to xxxx.dat) years later and attempted to recover it. In July 2020
Peter Schiff Lost Access to Gifted Bitcoin After App Update, Never Recorded Seed Phrase
Software wallet
On January 19, 2020, Peter Schiff, an economist and well-known Bitcoin critic, announced on Twitter that he had lost access to all his Bitcoin. The funds—approx
Incomplete Seed Phrase Recovery: Father's Electrum Wallet With 2 Missing Words
Software wallet
In November 2020, a BitcoinTalk user identified as ileikmath posted about a custody access failure affecting their father's Bitcoin holdings stored in an Electr
Illegible Seed Phrase on Nano Ledger X: 1 BTC Recovery via Brute-Force Search
Hardware wallet (single key)
In January 2020, a BitcoinTalk forum user posted on behalf of a friend who had purchased a Nano Ledger X hardware wallet one to two years earlier. The friend ha
Seed Phrase Lost to Household Disposal, Partial Password Known—Blockchain.info Hosted Wallet Inaccessible
Exchange custody
In April 2020, a Blockchain.info user experienced near-total loss of account recovery materials. The user maintained his seed phrase in two locations: a physica
Blockchain.info Wallet Access Lost: Destroyed Phone Note, Discarded Seed Paper, Partial Password
Exchange custody
In April 2020, a forum user described a friend's custody access failure involving a Blockchain.info hosted wallet (the platform later rebranded to Blockchain.co
Recovering a 2009–2010 Armory Wallet After Hard Drive Overwrite and Data Loss
Software wallet
In mid-2023, a Bitcoin holder initiated a recovery attempt for an Armory wallet created around 2009–2010, possibly purchased through a gaming platform. The orig
Atomic Wallet: 2 BTC Permanently Inaccessible After OS Reinstall Without Seed Backup
Software wallet
In September 2020, a BitcoinTalk user (dovjann) disclosed a complete custody failure involving approximately 2 BTC held in Atomic Wallet on a Windows laptop. At
Blockchain.com Dormant Accounts: Lost Passwords and Missing Backup Files
Exchange custody
Between approximately 2013 and 2019, multiple users of Blockchain.com (formerly Blockchain.info) experienced permanent loss of Bitcoin held in dormant accounts.
Electrum Wallet File Lost After Reinstall — Seed Phrase Forgotten
Software wallet
On March 14, 2019, a BitcoinTalk forum user (franktyler01) reported a custody access failure involving Electrum, a popular desktop software wallet. The user had
Ledger Nano PIN and Recovery Seed Lost: Complete Custody Failure
Hardware wallet (single key)
On March 18, 2019, a BitcoinTalk user identified as mad_foodie posted a request for help recovering Bitcoin stored on a Ledger Nano hardware wallet. The user ha
Blockchain.com Web Wallet Access Failures: Lost Passwords and Inaccessible Email Recovery
Exchange custody
Between 2013 and 2019, several users created Bitcoin wallets on blockchain.com (formerly blockchain.info), a web-based custodial platform popular during early B
Bitcoin Core Wallet Deleted During Hard Drive Format — No Backup
Software wallet
In April 2019, a Bitcoin Core user downloaded the full-node software but encountered synchronization delays due to insufficient storage space. The installation
House Fire Destroyed Hardware Wallet: Single Point of Failure in Self-Custody
Hardware wallet (single key)
An individual experienced a house fire that destroyed approximately half their home and most possessions, including a Ledger hardware wallet containing under $1
Ledger Nano S: 23 of 24 Mnemonic Words with Passphrase, Missing Final Word
Hardware wallet with passphrase
In May 2018, a Ledger Nano S user accidentally wiped their device during testing and discovered they had retained 23 of 24 seed words, written down in order, pl
Paper Wallet QR Code Case Mismatch: Single Character Locked Access for 2.5 Years
Software wallet
Al Reno generated an offline paper wallet using bitaddress.org in August 2018, manually printing both public and private keys with QR codes to physical paper. H
College-Era Bitcoin Miner: Wallet.dat Recovered, But Addresses Empty
Software wallet
In early 2018, a Bitcoin Forum user identified as cdcine sought help recovering Bitcoin he had mined during his college years using Bitcoin Core version 0.3.23,
Bitcoin-Qt HD Wallet Change Address Lost to Deleted wallet.dat File
Software wallet
In May 2018, a BitcoinTalk user identified as Tuee22 performed a transaction sending 0.01 BTC to an online vendor using Bitcoin-Qt. The user had maintained a si
Ledger Nano S Seed Phrase Transcription Error: Duplicate Words at Positions 9 and 12
Hardware wallet (single key)
In September 2018, a BitcoinTalk user identified as efreeet reported a custody access failure on a Ledger Nano S hardware wallet. The user had originally genera
Lost Final Word of Ledger Nano S 24-Word Seed: 110,000 Dogecoin Case
Hardware wallet (single key)
On March 8, 2018, a BitcoinTalk forum user identified as Ma1k reported losing the 24th word of a Ledger Nano S BIP39 recovery seed phrase. The loss occurred aft
Recovered 12-Word Seed Phrase but Balance Shows Zero: Imported Address Problem
Software wallet
In September 2018, a Bitcoin holder attempted to recover wallet access after forgetting which software they had originally used. They obtained a 12-word recover
Ledger Nano S Application Loss With Missing Seed Phrase Backup
Hardware wallet (single key)
On May 9, 2018, a BitcoinTalk Hardware Wallets forum user (bPatrick401) disclosed a custody access failure involving a Ledger Nano S device. The incident began
Browse by halving cycle and stress
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Vendor lockout
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Seed phrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Passphrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Device loss
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Coercion
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Vendor lockout
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Passphrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Device loss
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Coercion
Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Passphrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Seed phrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Vendor lockout
Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Device loss
Halving Cycle 1 (2009–2012) — Seed phrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 1 (2009–2012) — Passphrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 1 (2009–2012) — Vendor lockout
Halving Cycle 1 (2009–2012) — Device loss
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