Part of the CustodyStress archive of observed Bitcoin custody incidents
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Passphrase unavailable
Passphrase failures from Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020). The 2017 bull cycle drove mass hardware wallet adoption — holders who set passphrases during setup began encountering failures as memory of infrequently used credentials faded.
50 cases in this intersection. 53% of determinate cases resulted in a blocked outcome and 47% in access survived. The most common recovery path is password bruteforce.
Archive analysis — 50 cases
Outcomes
53% of determinate cases resulted in blocked access — 16 percentage points below the archive-wide average of 69%. 47% resulted in recovered access — above the archive average.
Documentation coverage
66% of cases have indeterminate outcomes — higher than the archive average of 43%.
Custody type
76% of cases involved software wallet, followed by exchange custody at 14%.
Recovery path
Password Bruteforce is the most documented recovery path (16 cases, 32% of subset).
Documentation
72% of cases had partial documentation — insufficient to complete recovery without the holder's direct involvement.
Structural dependency
94% of cases carry a passphrase dependency dependency tag — the most common structural factor in this subset.
9
Blocked
0
Constrained
8
Survived
33
Indeterminate
53% of determinate cases resulted in blocked or constrained access.
50 observed cases
Blocked
9 (18%)
Survived
8 (16%)
Indeterminate
33 (66%)
Electrum Wallet Dual Loss: Password and Seed Phrase Forgotten – November 2020
Software wallet
In November 2020, a BitcoinTalk forum user identified as 'irukandji' reported a custody access failure involving an Electrum software wallet. The user had forgo
Illegible Seed Phrase Backup: 1+ BTC Inaccessible on Ledger Nano X
Hardware wallet (single key)
A Ledger Nano X hardware wallet purchased around 2018–2019 held over 1 BTC in a native Segwit address (bc1qyw9dcldzl6jaam0rdz5). The owner had followed standard
240-Byte Android Wallet Backup from 2013: Recovery Path Unclear Without Passphrase
Software wallet
In October 2020, a Bitcoin holder reported losing the Android device containing their Bitcoin Wallet (Schildbach wallet) from late 2013. The only artifact remai
Electrum Wallet Password Lost After 4 Years: $8,000 BTC Access Blocked
Software wallet
In May 2020, a forum user identified as joe.jr discovered an old personal computer in their basement that had been inactive for approximately four years. Upon p
6 Missing Seed Words From 12-Word BIP39 Phrase: Trust Wallet Access Blocked
Software wallet
On October 3, 2020, a BitcoinTalk forum user posted an access failure involving a Trust Wallet protected by a 12-word BIP39 seed phrase. The user retained only
Blockchain.com Wallet Locked: Partial Recovery Phrase and Lost Secondary Withdrawal Password
Exchange custody
In September 2020, a BitcoinTalk user identified as sa14 reported complete inability to access a Blockchain.com wallet created on November 29, 2017, despite pos
Forgotten PIN on Mycelium Android Wallet: Seed Phrase Failed to Restore Bitcoin
Software wallet
In May 2019, a BitcoinTalk user reported a custody failure affecting their friend's self-custody Bitcoin holdings. The friend had created a Mycelium wallet on a
Forgotten Password to 18.2 BTC Bitcoin Core Wallet (May 2014)
Software wallet
On December 13, 2019, a BitcoinTalk forum user (na4e41.02) posted in the Bitcoin Technical Support section requesting assistance recovering a wallet.dat file en
Forgotten Wallet.dat Password: 13.8 BTC Inaccessible Since 2013
Software wallet
In September 2019, a BitcoinTalk forum user identified as lankymanx disclosed loss of access to a wallet.dat file created in 2013, containing 13.8 BTC. The wall
Forgotten 115-Character Wallet Password Recovered via GPU Typo-Bruteforce
Software wallet
In August 2017, a Bitcoin enthusiast created a Bitcoin Core wallet secured by a 115-character sentence-based password and wrote it down. In June 2019, when they
Mycelium Mobile Wallet PIN Lost — Bitcoin Inaccessible Despite Seed Phrase
Software wallet
A Mycelium mobile wallet user created a new wallet on an old Android device in 2019, securing it with a 6-digit PIN and recording the 12-word seed phrase on pap
Passphrase unavailable — exchange custody, unknown (2019)
Exchange custody
A 2019 BitcoinTalk thread documented a recurring custody failure pattern affecting blockchain.com (formerly blockchain.info) users from the 2011–2014 era. The o
Mycelium Android Wallet: Forgotten PIN Blocks Access to Received Bitcoin
Software wallet
In May 2019, a Mycelium wallet user created a new wallet on an older Android phone and recorded the 12-word mnemonic seed phrase on paper. A 6-digit PIN was the
Lost Electrum Wallet Password: wallet.dat File Encrypted, No Backup Credential
Software wallet
In February 2019, a forum user identified as bitbemining posted a custody failure case involving an Electrum wallet. The user possessed the encrypted wallet.dat
Electrum Seed Version 18 Password Recovery: btcrecover Incompatibility Resolved
Software wallet
In December 2019, a BitcoinTalk user (red14159) discovered a wallet.dat file from an Electrum wallet they had lost access to approximately three years earlier.
Electrum Seed Phrase Mismatch: Valid Addresses, Missing Funds
Software wallet
In January 2018, forum user 'thenarog' encountered a nuanced custody failure involving an Electrum desktop wallet. The user held a wallet.dat backup file protec
Forgotten wallet.dat Password: 13.8 BTC Locked Since 2013
Software wallet
On 2 March 2018, a Bitcoin holder identified as fabriciofenenga posted to the Bitcoin Technical Support forum seeking password recovery assistance for a wallet.
PIVX Encrypted Wallet Access Failure After System Update and Forced Shutdown
Software wallet
In May 2018, a user encrypted a PIVX wallet using PIVX Core version 3.1.0.2 on Windows 64-bit and confirmed the passphrase worked across multiple unlock cycles
131 BTC Inaccessible: Forgotten Wallet Password, No Recovery Mechanism
Software wallet
In December 2018, a BitcoinTalk user known as 'jackang' posted a public plea for help recovering access to a wallet containing 131 BTC. The wallet had been crea
4 BTC Inaccessible in BIP38-Encrypted Paper Wallet After Passphrase Loss
Software wallet
In February 2018, a Bitcoin holder discovered that access to 4 BTC distributed across three BIP38-encrypted paper wallet addresses had become impossible due to
Bitcoin Core Wallet Passphrase Rejected: $400 USD Inaccessible
Software wallet
In September 2018, a Bitcoin Core user reported being locked out of their encrypted software wallet containing approximately $400 USD in Bitcoin. The wallet had
MultiBit Classic Password Lock: Recovery Through Backup Key File Import
Software wallet
A BitcoinTalk user (cluuze130) deposited Bitcoin into MultiBit Classic approximately one year before attempting withdrawal in February 2018. At the time of depo
BitcoinTalk User: Encrypted Wallet.dat Passphrase Lost, Recovery Deemed Infeasible
Software wallet
In January 2018, a BitcoinTalk forum user identified as moztec reported an access failure involving a wallet.dat file encrypted with Bitcoin Core. The user had
Encrypted Wallet, Forgotten Passphrase: Self-Custody Encryption Without Backup
Software wallet
On January 14, 2018, BitcoinTalk user AsJoshScreams posted a recovery plea for an encrypted cryptocurrency wallet. The user had encrypted their private key with
Blockchain.info Wallet Password Lost, No Seed Backup: Recovery Blocked
Exchange custody
In July 2018, a Bitcoin holder transferred funds to his wife's blockchain.info mobile wallet during a phone transition. The wife subsequently forgot the wallet
Browse by halving cycle and stress
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Vendor lockout
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Seed phrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Passphrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Device loss
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Coercion
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Vendor lockout
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Seed phrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Device loss
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Coercion
Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Passphrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Seed phrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Vendor lockout
Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Device loss
Halving Cycle 1 (2009–2012) — Seed phrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 1 (2009–2012) — Passphrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 1 (2009–2012) — Vendor lockout
Halving Cycle 1 (2009–2012) — Device loss
All cases
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