Part of the CustodyStress archive of observed Bitcoin custody incidents
Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Passphrase unavailable
Passphrase failures from Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016). As hardware wallets became available and BIP39 was standardised, the first wave of forgotten passphrase cases emerged.
68 cases in this intersection. 38% of determinate cases resulted in a blocked outcome and 42% in access survived. The most common recovery path is password bruteforce.
Archive analysis — 68 cases
Outcomes
38% of determinate cases resulted in blocked access — 31 percentage points below the archive-wide average of 69%. 42% resulted in recovered access — above the archive average. 21% resulted in constrained recovery.
Documentation coverage
65% of cases have indeterminate outcomes — higher than the archive average of 43%.
Custody type
75% of cases involved software wallet, followed by exchange custody at 25%.
Recovery path
Password Bruteforce is the most documented recovery path (35 cases, 51% of subset). Of those with a determinate outcome, 100% resulted in recovered or constrained access.
Documentation
74% of cases had partial documentation — insufficient to complete recovery without the holder's direct involvement.
Structural dependency
96% of cases carry a passphrase dependency dependency tag — the most common structural factor in this subset.
9
Blocked
5
Constrained
10
Survived
44
Indeterminate
58% of determinate cases resulted in blocked or constrained access.
68 observed cases
Blocked
9 (13%)
Constrained
5 (7%)
Survived
10 (15%)
Indeterminate
44 (65%)
Bitcoin Core Fatal Error After Moving Block Folder: wallet.dat Accessible But Program Won't Launch
Software wallet
In December 2016, a Bitcoin Core user installed the software on their PC and began purchasing Bitcoin before full blockchain synchronization was complete. Appro
Incomplete Electrum Seed Phrase: 0.032 BTC Inaccessible Since 2016
Software wallet
In December 2024, a BitcoinTalk user (winnerorlooser) disclosed a custody failure spanning eight years. Around 2016, the user transferred 0.032 BTC from an obso
Passphrase unavailable — Bitcoin Core, Finland (2016)
Software wallet
On February 5, 2016, a user identifying as mikkihiiri posted in the Bitcoin Technical Support section of BitcoinTalk seeking help to recover access to an encryp
Lost Electrum Wallet Password (2 BTC) – No Recovery Path Identified
Software wallet
In September 2016, a BitcoinTalk forum user with username Ashkaan posted a public bounty request seeking professional assistance to recover access to an Electru
Encrypted Wallet Recovery Without Passphrase: pywallet's Hard Limit
Software wallet
In April 2016, BitcoinTalk user sparkybtc posted about recovering cryptocurrency from a formatted hard drive containing Bitcoin CPU-mined around 2011 and Dogeco
Kevin Durant Locked Out of Coinbase Bitcoin Account for 9 Years After 2016 Purchase
Exchange custody
Kevin Durant purchased Bitcoin on Coinbase in September 2016 at approximately $650 per coin, following repeated conversations with Golden State Warriors teammat
Electrum Wallet Password Loss: 4 BTC Inaccessible Without Seed Backup
Software wallet
On April 6, 2016, Andi300 posted on forum.bitcoin.com describing an immediate custody failure: the user had just received 4 BTC but was unable to send or access
Andreas1324 Permanently Locked Out of Electrum Wallet: Forgotten Password, No Seed Backup (May 2016)
Software wallet
In May 2016, a BitcoinTalk user posting as Andreas1324 opened a public thread in the Electrum wallet subforum describing complete loss of access to a wallet hol
Blockchain.info Wallet Password Loss: No Recovery Options — February 2016
Exchange custody
In February 2016, a BitcoinTalk user posted on behalf of a friend who had lost the password to a Blockchain.info hosted wallet. The friend retained only an iden
10 Million Dogecoins Inaccessible After Forgotten Spending PIN on Android Wallet
Software wallet
In January 2016, a user accumulated approximately 10 million Dogecoins (valued at roughly $1,500 USD) on an Android Langerhans wallet over one week. The coins w
Online Wallet Password Lost Without Seed Phrase Backup
Exchange custody
In November 2017, a BitcoinTalk user (mattmaxx) discovered they had lost access to an online Bitcoin wallet created approximately one year earlier on a laptop t
Blockchain.info Wallet Access Lost After SD Card Automatic Format During Device Migration
Exchange custody
In June 2016, a Blockchain.info user with the handle 'Graver' lost access to their Bitcoin holdings following a device migration that exposed the fragility of s
BIP39 Passphrase Confusion: How a Mobile PIN Hid Bitcoin for Five Years
Software wallet
In mid-2016, the user's Android device failed. They recovered their MyCelium wallet using their seed phrase but found all pre-2016 Bitcoin gone. The wallet show
Blockchain.info Double Encryption Password Lost: Unrecoverable Without Key
Exchange custody
In February 2015, a BitcoinTalk user identified as ltcgearscammed posted seeking help after losing access to Bitcoin stored in a Blockchain.info wallet secured
Bitcoin Core Wallet Corruption: Selective Key Decryption Failure and Community Recovery
Software wallet
Henke created an encrypted wallet backup on December 20, 2015, containing approximately 4 BTC. After refreshing his Windows 7 system and reinstalling Bitcoin Co
Bitcoin-Qt Passphrase Encoding Mismatch: Known Password Rejected Across Versions
Software wallet
StaleCoinz created a Bitcoin-Qt wallet on macOS in 2013 and encrypted it in 2015 using a passphrase he distinctly remembered. When he attempted to access the wa
Lost BIP38 Passphrase on Paper Wallet: 256 Case Combinations, No Documentation
Software wallet
In March 2015, a user known as 'germanuniv' created a paper wallet using bitaddress.org with BIP38 encryption enabled. To generate the passphrase, the user deri
Zombie Paintball Incident: Written Password Loss Blocks Access to $20K Bitcoin
Software wallet
Luke purchased his first Bitcoin around 2013 for approximately $200 and continued accumulating holdings over roughly two years, investing between $15,000 and $2
Bitcoin Core USB Wallet (2015): Passphrase Lost, Balance Unconfirmed After Reimport
Software wallet
In 2015, an individual secured Bitcoin on a Bitcoin Core wallet stored on an external USB drive, encrypted with a passphrase. Years later, the owner connected t
Encrypted Bitcoin Core Wallet Loss: Forgotten Passphrase, Selective Key Export Failure
Software wallet
In October 2015, forum user phantitox reported recovering a wallet.dat file from a damaged hard drive, only to discover the passphrase protecting the encrypted
Forgotten Blockchain.info Password: Client-Side Encryption Locks €100 Bitcoin Permanently
Exchange custody
On September 17, 2015, a Blockchain.info user with the forum username Seporstia posted requesting help recovering access to a hosted wallet after forgetting the
Forgotten Bitcoin Core Passphrase: Third-Party Recovery Service Success — Community Skepticism
Software wallet
In July 2015, a BitcoinTalk user (bassride2) discovered that while they had meticulously backed up their Bitcoin Core wallet.dat file multiple times, they had f
Electrum Wallet Password Loss Without Seed Phrase Backup
Software wallet
In November 2015, a BitcoinTalk user created a password-protected Electrum software wallet for testing purposes and set a password they believed followed the pa
0.3 BTC Lost After Uninstalling Blockchain.info Desktop Wallet Without Backup
Exchange custody
In June 2015, a user identified as Williams2017 received approximately 0.3 BTC (then valued at roughly $70 USD) from an entity called 'www.instantgold.ng' to th
Forgotten Passphrase and Overwritten Wallet.dat: 0.50 BTC Permanently Lost
Software wallet
In May 2015, BitcoinTalk user grovearmada discovered they had lost access to an encrypted Bitcoin wallet containing 0.50 BTC (approximately $115–120 USD at 2015
Browse by halving cycle and stress
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Vendor lockout
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Seed phrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Passphrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Device loss
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Coercion
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Vendor lockout
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Passphrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Seed phrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Device loss
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Coercion
Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Seed phrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Vendor lockout
Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Device loss
Halving Cycle 1 (2009–2012) — Seed phrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 1 (2009–2012) — Passphrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 1 (2009–2012) — Vendor lockout
Halving Cycle 1 (2009–2012) — Device loss
All cases
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