CustodyStress
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Part of the CustodyStress archive of observed Bitcoin custody incidents
Cycle 2Software wallet

Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Software wallet

Software wallet failures from Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016). Growing hardware wallet adoption introduced new passphrase-related failures alongside legacy wallet.dat losses. BIP39 standardisation created a new failure mode as holders began forgetting passphrases.

105 cases in this intersection. 54% of determinate cases resulted in a blocked outcome and 37% in access survived. The most common recovery path is password bruteforce.

25
Blocked
4
Constrained
17
Survived
59
Indeterminate

63% of determinate cases resulted in blocked or constrained access.

105 observed cases
Blocked
25 (24%)
Constrained
4 (4%)
Survived
17 (16%)
Indeterminate
59 (56%)
Noitev's Lost Electrum Password: 1.8–1.9 BTC Recovered via Brute-Force Attack
Software wallet
Constrained 2013
On April 8, 2013, BitcoinTalk user Noitev reported losing access to an Electrum wallet holding approximately 1.8–1.9 BTC due to a forgotten password. The wallet
Electrum Legacy Seed Recovery Failure: 2013–2014 Gift Wallet Inaccessible
Software wallet
Blocked 2013
Between 2013 and 2014, alejandroaa's mother received Bitcoin from a friend and retained three pieces of documentation: a 12-word seed phrase, a 5-letter login c
Multibit Wallet Lost After Mac Reformat Without Backup
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2013
In November 2013, a BitcoinTalk user identified as funkonaut posted about losing access to their Bitcoin holdings following a critical self-inflicted data loss
Bitcoin-Qt Wallet Loss: Executable Backup Without Private Key File (2013)
Software wallet
Blocked 2013
TheD1ceMan, a forum user, experienced an irrecoverable loss of approximately 1.8 BTC (valued at $2,300–$2,700 USD at May 2013 market prices) due to a critical m
BitcoinTalk User RTQ1154 Locks 78 BTC Behind Mistyped Wallet Password
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2013
In June 2013, a BitcoinTalk forum user identifying as RTQ1154 posted in a community thread titled 'Let's add up the KNOWN lost bitcoins' describing a custody lo
James Howells and the Landfill Bitcoin: Device Lost, Recovery Legally Blocked
Software wallet
Blocked 2013
James Howells, a UK resident, discarded a hard drive containing an encrypted Bitcoin wallet during a routine office clearance in 2013. The device was disposed o
Australian Miner Loses Early Bitcoin When Sole USB Backup Drive Fails Irrecoverably
Software wallet
Blocked 2013
Alex, an Australian Bitcoin miner based in Melbourne, mined Bitcoin around 2010 when mining was still a hobbyist activity with negligible monetary value. Unlike
Bomben Recovers 2013 Bitcoin Wallet Locked by Nonstandard Private Key Encoding
Software wallet
Survived 2013
Bomben created a Bitcoin wallet in 2013 using software that implemented a nonstandard encoding for private keys, diverging from the Wallet Import Format (WIF) s
Passphrase unavailable — Bitcoin-Qt (2013)
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2013
In April 2013, a BitcoinTalk user identified as 'veryveryinteresting' posted in topic 85495, the community's primary encrypted wallet recovery thread, describin
BitcoinTalk User 'Liquid': 30 BTC Inaccessible Due to Forgotten Bitcoin-Qt Encryption Password
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2013
In June 2013, a BitcoinTalk forum user operating under the handle 'Liquid' posted in the encrypted wallet recovery thread (topic 85495) describing an inaccessib
Hidden wallet discovered — Bitcoin-Qt (2013)
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2013
In November 2013, BitcoinTalk user nobbie discovered that Bitcoin-Qt's wallet encryption feature had been activated, locking access to the wallet with a passwor
Passphrase unavailable — Bitcoin-Qt (2013)
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2013
In April 2013, a BitcoinTalk user identified as 'legitnick' posted in topic 85495, the primary community support thread for locked wallet recovery during the 20
Feathercoin Desktop Wallet Encryption: Community Recovery Estimate vs. Actual Search Space (Nov 2013)
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2013
On 30 November 2013, BitcoinTalk user 'user0244' posted in the encrypted wallet recovery thread seeking assistance with a locked Feathercoin wallet. The user co
Maxime: Hard Drive Corruption Destroyed Only Copy of Seed Phrase
Software wallet
Blocked 2013
Maxime, a Canadian journalist, began mining Bitcoin during the 2012–2013 period when the technology represented an emerging alternative financial system. He suc
Ecurb123: Encrypted Bitcoin-Qt Wallet on Ubuntu, Passphrase Lost, Recovery Blocked by Configuration Barriers
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2013
In December 2013, BitcoinTalk user Ecurb123 posted in the encrypted wallet recovery thread describing a locked Bitcoin-Qt wallet on Ubuntu Linux. The user had s
Passphrase unavailable — software wallet (2013)
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2013
In December 2013, BitcoinTalk user goldbishop posted in the encrypted wallet recovery forum that two altcoin wallets—one holding Protoshares (PTS) and another h
Passphrase unavailable — software wallet (2013)
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2013
On December 26, 2013, BitcoinTalk Senior Member mackminer posted in the encrypted wallet recovery forum describing a locked Bitcoin wallet protected by a multi-
Bitcoin Core wallet.dat Berkeley DB Corruption (2013–2024): Cross-Platform Recovery
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2013
A Bitcoin user who created a wallet backup in 2014 using Bitcoin Core version 2013 attempted to restore it in March 2024 on a Windows machine running Bitcoin Co
Widow Unable to Access Encrypted Bitcoin-Qt Wallet After Husband's Death
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2013
In April 2013, a widow posted to Bitcoin Stack Exchange seeking recovery options for her deceased husband's Bitcoin-Qt wallet. The wallet was encrypted but she
Coinbase Paper Wallet Private Key Lost Before Printing—4.5 BTC Inaccessible
Software wallet
Blocked 2013
In December 2013, a Bitcoin newcomer attempted to move funds to a Coinbase-hosted paper wallet generator. The user copied and pasted the private key first, but
Encrypted wallet.dat Corruption: Recovery Attempt After Unplanned Reformat
Software wallet
Blocked 2013
In November 2013, a Bitcoin holder discovered they had deleted their wallet.dat file during a Windows system reformat without maintaining a backup. Realizing th
2013 Bitcoin Core Wallet.dat Corruption After Version Incompatibility
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2013
The subject purchased a used desktop computer from a thrift store and discovered an installed Bitcoin QT client with an associated wallet.dat file dating to 201
Inherited 2009 Bitcoin Mining Hard Drive: Unrecoverable wallet.dat After OS Reinstall
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2013
A Bitcoin holder inherited a hard drive from their father's computer, which had been used for Bitcoin mining in November 2009. The drive had been powered down a
Forgotten Passphrase Locks Desktop Wallet for 8 Years; btcrecover Enables Recovery
Software wallet
Survived 2013
In 2013, this individual created a Bitcoin wallet using desktop software, securing it with a passphrase. The holder subsequently lost memory of that passphrase
BitcoinTalk User syuyu Locked Out of Wallet With ~32-Character Passphrase (January 2014)
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2013
In January 2014, a BitcoinTalk user known as 'syuyu' posted in an encrypted wallet recovery thread describing a locked software wallet they could no longer acce
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Terms guide
Survived
Access remained possible under the reported conditions.
Constrained
Access remained possible, but only with delay, dependence, or significant difficulty.
Blocked
Access was not possible under the reported conditions.
Indeterminate
There was not enough information to determine the outcome.
Survivability
The degree to which a custody system maintains the possibility of authorized recovery under stress.
Archive inclusion criteria

This archive documents cases where a legitimate owner, heir, or authorized party encountered barriers accessing or recovering Bitcoin due to a failure in the custody arrangement. The central question for inclusion is: did the custody structure fail a legitimate access or recovery attempt?

A case must satisfy all three of the following to be included:

  1. Legitimate access attempt. The person attempting to access or recover the Bitcoin was the owner, a designated heir, an executor, a legal authority, or another party with a legitimate claim — not a thief, attacker, or unauthorized third party.
  2. Custody structure failure. The failure was caused by a property of the custody arrangement — missing credentials, structural dependencies, documentation gaps, knowledge concentration, legal barriers, or institutional constraints — not market conditions, individual-level fraud or theft, or protocol-level issues. Platform-level failures that block legitimate user access are in scope regardless of their cause.
  3. Documentable outcome or access constraint. The case must have a stated or inferable outcome: access blocked, access constrained, access delayed, or access eventually achieved through a recovery path. Cases with entirely unknown outcomes are included only where the structural failure is documented and the constraint is unambiguous.
  • Owner death or incapacity — Bitcoin held in self-custody that becomes inaccessible to heirs or designated parties because credentials, documentation, or operational knowledge were not transferred
  • Passphrase loss — BIP39 passphrase forgotten or unavailable, blocking access to a funded wallet even where the seed phrase is present
  • Seed phrase or wallet backup unavailable — no independent recovery path existed or the backup was destroyed, lost, or never created
  • Device loss without independent backup — hardware wallet, phone, or computer lost or destroyed with no recovery path outside the device
  • Documentation absent or ambiguous — heirs or executors cannot determine that Bitcoin exists, which wallet holds it, or how to access it
  • Knowledge concentration — only one person knew the procedure, passphrase, or access method; that person is dead, incapacitated, or unreachable
  • Multisig quorum failure — a threshold signature arrangement cannot be completed because signers are unavailable, uncooperative, incapacitated, or have lost their keys
  • Legal authority / access mismatch — a court order, probate ruling, or power of attorney establishes legal entitlement but provides no technical path to access
  • Institutional custody barrier — exchange or platform hacks, insolvency, regulatory seizure, or operational failure that caused a access constraint or failure for legitimate users, whether temporary, prolonged, or permanent. The failure of the custodian to remain available or solvent is itself the in-scope event.
  • Forced relocation or geographic constraint — physical access to a device or location required for recovery is blocked by displacement, border restrictions, or political circumstances
  • Coercion — the holder was compelled under threat to transfer Bitcoin or disclose credentials during an access event
  • Hidden asset discovery — heirs or executors locate a wallet or account but cannot access it due to missing credentials or operational knowledge
  • Market losses, investment losses, yield scheme losses, or Ponzi scheme losses
  • Hacks or theft targeting an individual's personal security (phishing, SIM swap, social engineering, malware) where the custody architecture itself did not fail
  • Unauthorized transfers where the holder's custody system was not the cause of the failure
  • Ordinary transaction mistakes — wrong-address sends, fee errors, mistaken amounts
  • Protocol-level failures — cryptographic vulnerabilities, consensus bugs, firmware integrity failures
  • Deliberate burns or tribute burns
  • Cases where the stated loss is unverifiable and no structural custody failure is described

Cases are drawn from public sources including forum posts, news reporting, court documents, academic research, and direct submissions. Each case is reviewed against the inclusion criteria above before publication. Source material is retained and available on request for documented cases.

The archive is observational and descriptive. It does not attempt to document all Bitcoin custody failures — only those meeting the criteria above with sufficient documentation to describe the structural failure and its outcome.

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