CustodyStress
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Part of the CustodyStress archive of observed Bitcoin custody incidents
IndeterminateSoftware wallet

Indeterminate — Software wallet

Cases where a software wallet access failure has an unknown or unresolved outcome. These cases represent custody situations where the structural failure is documented but whether recovery was ultimately achieved is not recorded in available sources.

253 observed cases
Indeterminate
253 (100%)
Mycelium Mobile Wallet Balance Access Failure — December 2017
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2017
In mid-December 2017, a Bitcoin user (Myrr) discovered a critical custody access failure in the Mycelium mobile wallet on their iPhone. The user had purchased B
Accidental Wallet.dat Deletion on Mac SSD — Unrecoverable Bitcoin Loss
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2017
On November 2, 2017, a Bitcoin user identified as chrisf199 posted on BitcoinTalk seeking professional help to recover a wallet.dat file they had accidentally d
BIP38 Paper Wallet Passphrase Lost — 0.7 BTC Inaccessible (2020)
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2017
A BitcoinTalk user (arkaraj) purchased approximately 0.7 BTC in 2017 and generated a paper wallet using bitaddress.org with BIP38 passphrase encryption. The use
Bitcoin Core Fatal Error After Moving Block Folder: wallet.dat Accessible But Program Won't Launch
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2016
In December 2016, a Bitcoin Core user installed the software on their PC and began purchasing Bitcoin before full blockchain synchronization was complete. Appro
Armory Desktop Wallet: 2 BTC Inaccessible Despite Paper and Encrypted Backups
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2016
A user purchased 2 BTC via Coinbase approximately 2013–2014 and transferred them to a self-hosted Armory wallet running on a personal server. The transfer compl
Incomplete Electrum Seed Phrase: 0.032 BTC Inaccessible Since 2016
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2016
In December 2024, a BitcoinTalk user (winnerorlooser) disclosed a custody failure spanning eight years. Around 2016, the user transferred 0.032 BTC from an obso
75 BTC Access Loss: Bitcoin Core Wallet Reset Without Backup (2016)
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2016
In 2016, forum user bridget1 installed Bitcoin Core v0.13.0 and deposited 75 BTC into the newly created wallet. At the time, 75 BTC had a market value of approx
Rafel Marcel: Bitcoin Acquired via BitX in 2016, Seed Phrase Never Recorded
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2016
Rafel Marcel purchased Bitcoin approximately ten years prior to March 2026—around late 2016—through an exchange called BitX (later rebranded as Luno). A friend
Passphrase unavailable — Bitcoin Core, Finland (2016)
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2016
On February 5, 2016, a user identifying as mikkihiiri posted in the Bitcoin Technical Support section of BitcoinTalk seeking help to recover access to an encryp
Lost Electrum Wallet Password (2 BTC) – No Recovery Path Identified
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2016
In September 2016, a BitcoinTalk forum user with username Ashkaan posted a public bounty request seeking professional assistance to recover access to an Electru
Encrypted Wallet Recovery Without Passphrase: pywallet's Hard Limit
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2016
In April 2016, BitcoinTalk user sparkybtc posted about recovering cryptocurrency from a formatted hard drive containing Bitcoin CPU-mined around 2011 and Dogeco
Smartphone Wallet Reset Without Backup: 15 BTC Private Key Unverified
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2016
In November 2016, a user identified as 'Farer' created a Bitcoin wallet on a smartphone and accumulated 15 bitcoins. Approximately one year later, the user rese
Watching-Only Wallet With Lost Seed Phrase: Password Insufficient for Recovery
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2016
In June 2016, a BitcoinTalk user identified as Tully96 posted in the Wallet Software forum seeking help after discovering they had lost access to Bitcoin stored
Deleted Encrypted Wallet Without Backup: Private Keys Lost
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2016
In November 2016, a Bitcoin Stack Exchange user posted about deleting their wallet file during a computer wipe, having never created a backup. The user had conv
Electrum Wallet Loss After Hard Disk Failure: No Seed Phrase or Backup
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2016
In March 2016, a BitcoinTalk user operating under the handle 'knowhow' experienced total loss of access to an Electrum Bitcoin wallet after their hard drive fai
Electrum 8-Word Seed Recovery: Funds Visible on Blockchain, Wallet Shows Zero Balance
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2015
In 2015, forum user Braden_Hearn encountered a custody access failure after accidentally sending approximately $1000 USD worth of Bitcoin to an address controll
Bitcoin-Qt Passphrase Encoding Mismatch: Known Password Rejected Across Versions
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2015
StaleCoinz created a Bitcoin-Qt wallet on macOS in 2013 and encrypted it in 2015 using a passphrase he distinctly remembered. When he attempted to access the wa
Lost BIP38 Passphrase on Paper Wallet: 256 Case Combinations, No Documentation
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2015
In March 2015, a user known as 'germanuniv' created a paper wallet using bitaddress.org with BIP38 encryption enabled. To generate the passphrase, the user deri
Bitcoin Core USB Wallet (2015): Passphrase Lost, Balance Unconfirmed After Reimport
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2015
In 2015, an individual secured Bitcoin on a Bitcoin Core wallet stored on an external USB drive, encrypted with a passphrase. Years later, the owner connected t
Forgotten Bitcoin Wallet on Lost Amazon Fire Phone: Data Recovery Failure
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2015
In 2015, a friend transferred approximately $10 worth of Bitcoin to a user's Amazon Fire phone using a mobile wallet application as payment for donuts. The user
Electrum Wallet Password Loss Without Seed Phrase Backup
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2015
In November 2015, a BitcoinTalk user created a password-protected Electrum software wallet for testing purposes and set a password they believed followed the pa
0.22 BTC Inaccessible in Electrum Watch-Only Wallet After Bitcoin Core Import Error
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2015
In October 2015, a macOS user (ginko3000) discovered they could not spend 0.22 BTC held in an Electrum wallet despite the balance being visible on screen. The w
Electrum Desktop Wallet: 0.7 BTC Locked by Forgotten Password, Missing Seed Phrase
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2014
Liam, a new Bitcoin user (BitcoinTalk username AbeTheCat), purchased 0.7 BTC in October 2014 and stored it in an Electrum desktop software wallet on his origina
Bitcoin-Qt Wallet Shows Zero Balance After Windows Installation on SSD
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2014
In January 2014, a Bitcoin holder experienced a system failure (repeated Blue Screen of Death) on their PC. Rather than repair the existing installation, they p
Electrum Seed Phrase Lost to Accidental File Deletion — Windows Recovery Attempt
Software wallet
Indeterminate 2014
In mid-2014, a user identified as Evolution created an Electrum Bitcoin wallet using Tails live operating system running inside VMware on Windows 7. The user ge
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Browse by outcome and custody type
Terms guide
Survived
Access remained possible under the reported conditions.
Constrained
Access remained possible, but only with delay, dependence, or significant difficulty.
Blocked
Access was not possible under the reported conditions.
Indeterminate
There was not enough information to determine the outcome.
Survivability
The degree to which a custody system maintains the possibility of authorized recovery under stress.
Archive inclusion criteria

This archive documents cases where a legitimate owner, heir, or authorized party encountered barriers accessing or recovering Bitcoin due to a failure in the custody arrangement. The central question for inclusion is: did the custody structure fail a legitimate access or recovery attempt?

A case must satisfy all three of the following to be included:

  1. Legitimate access attempt. The person attempting to access or recover the Bitcoin was the owner, a designated heir, an executor, a legal authority, or another party with a legitimate claim — not a thief, attacker, or unauthorized third party.
  2. Custody structure failure. The failure was caused by a property of the custody arrangement — missing credentials, structural dependencies, documentation gaps, knowledge concentration, legal barriers, or institutional constraints — not market conditions, individual-level fraud or theft, or protocol-level issues. Platform-level failures that block legitimate user access are in scope regardless of their cause.
  3. Documentable outcome or access constraint. The case must have a stated or inferable outcome: access blocked, access constrained, access delayed, or access eventually achieved through a recovery path. Cases with entirely unknown outcomes are included only where the structural failure is documented and the constraint is unambiguous.
  • Owner death or incapacity — Bitcoin held in self-custody that becomes inaccessible to heirs or designated parties because credentials, documentation, or operational knowledge were not transferred
  • Passphrase loss — BIP39 passphrase forgotten or unavailable, blocking access to a funded wallet even where the seed phrase is present
  • Seed phrase or wallet backup unavailable — no independent recovery path existed or the backup was destroyed, lost, or never created
  • Device loss without independent backup — hardware wallet, phone, or computer lost or destroyed with no recovery path outside the device
  • Documentation absent or ambiguous — heirs or executors cannot determine that Bitcoin exists, which wallet holds it, or how to access it
  • Knowledge concentration — only one person knew the procedure, passphrase, or access method; that person is dead, incapacitated, or unreachable
  • Multisig quorum failure — a threshold signature arrangement cannot be completed because signers are unavailable, uncooperative, incapacitated, or have lost their keys
  • Legal authority / access mismatch — a court order, probate ruling, or power of attorney establishes legal entitlement but provides no technical path to access
  • Institutional custody barrier — exchange or platform hacks, insolvency, regulatory seizure, or operational failure that caused a access constraint or failure for legitimate users, whether temporary, prolonged, or permanent. The failure of the custodian to remain available or solvent is itself the in-scope event.
  • Forced relocation or geographic constraint — physical access to a device or location required for recovery is blocked by displacement, border restrictions, or political circumstances
  • Coercion — the holder was compelled under threat to transfer Bitcoin or disclose credentials during an access event
  • Hidden asset discovery — heirs or executors locate a wallet or account but cannot access it due to missing credentials or operational knowledge
  • Market losses, investment losses, yield scheme losses, or Ponzi scheme losses
  • Hacks or theft targeting an individual's personal security (phishing, SIM swap, social engineering, malware) where the custody architecture itself did not fail
  • Unauthorized transfers where the holder's custody system was not the cause of the failure
  • Ordinary transaction mistakes — wrong-address sends, fee errors, mistaken amounts
  • Protocol-level failures — cryptographic vulnerabilities, consensus bugs, firmware integrity failures
  • Deliberate burns or tribute burns
  • Cases where the stated loss is unverifiable and no structural custody failure is described

Cases are drawn from public sources including forum posts, news reporting, court documents, academic research, and direct submissions. Each case is reviewed against the inclusion criteria above before publication. Source material is retained and available on request for documented cases.

The archive is observational and descriptive. It does not attempt to document all Bitcoin custody failures — only those meeting the criteria above with sufficient documentation to describe the structural failure and its outcome.

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