Part of the CustodyStress archive of observed Bitcoin custody incidents
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Passphrase unavailable
Passphrase failures from Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024). All-time highs drove a new wave of hardware wallet adoption among holders who set passphrases they later forgot or never documented.
43 cases in this intersection. 50% of determinate cases resulted in a blocked outcome and 38% in access survived. The most common recovery path is password bruteforce.
Archive analysis — 43 cases
Outcomes
50% of determinate cases resulted in blocked access — 19 percentage points below the archive-wide average of 69%. 38% resulted in recovered access — above the archive average.
Documentation coverage
81% of cases have indeterminate outcomes — higher than the archive average of 43%.
Custody type
77% of cases involved software wallet, followed by exchange custody at 12%.
Recovery path
Password Bruteforce is the most documented recovery path (21 cases, 49% of subset).
Documentation
77% of cases had partial documentation — insufficient to complete recovery without the holder's direct involvement.
Structural dependency
95% of cases carry a passphrase dependency dependency tag — the most common structural factor in this subset.
43 observed cases
Blocked
4 (9%)
Constrained
1 (2%)
Survived
3 (7%)
Indeterminate
35 (81%)
Blockchain.info Legacy Wallet Second Password Loss with Proprietary Mnemonic Incompatibility
Exchange custody
On December 17, 2024, a Bitcoin forum user discovered a Dropbox backup containing a 20-word mnemonic seed phrase and login credentials (email, password, wallet
Blockchain.com Wallet Inaccessible: Primary Password Works, Secondary Password Lost, Legacy Seed Incompatible
Exchange custody
In December 2024, a Bitcoin holder retrieved an encrypted wallet backup from Dropbox containing credentials for a Blockchain.info (now Blockchain.com) account o
Three Recovered wallet.dat Files (2009–2013): Corruption, Incompatibility, and Unknown Passphrase
Software wallet
Jay, an early Bitcoin participant who mined from 2009 onwards, stored wallet.dat files with minimal backup discipline—copying them to memory sticks as was custo
Forgotten BIP39 Passphrase: BTCRecover Brute-Force Fails to Recover Access
Software wallet
JMASTERJ, a BitcoinTalk forum user, discovered a critical access failure in a self-custody wallet setup using a 12-word BIP39 seed phrase combined with an addit
Samourai Wallet Seizure: Recovering Bitcoin After Platform Shutdown
Software wallet
On April 28, 2024, a BitcoinTalk user reported that Bitcoin deposited to their Samourai Wallet became inaccessible following the FBI's shutdown of the platform.
Deceased Partner's Encrypted wallet.dat: Password Confirmed but Holdings Unverifiable
Software wallet
In May 2024, a non-technical forum user discovered a wallet.dat file on an SD card containing personal photos belonging to their deceased partner, described as
50–100 Bitcoin Lost on Old Hard Drive Due to Missing Passphrase
Software wallet
In December 2024, a professional contacted Stack Exchange reporting that a colleague possessed 50–100 bitcoins stored on an old hard drive in a bitcoin-qt walle
Trezor Passphrase Forgotten After Factory Reset — Successful Recovery via Community Support
Hardware wallet with passphrase
BTCRSMD, a moderately experienced Bitcoin user, executed a deliberate custody strategy in July 2024. The user purchased Bitcoin via Swan and routed the coins th
Forgotten Bitcoin Core Passphrase: Family Lifesavings Locked After Home Invasion
Software wallet
SpaceMarine770 moved Bitcoin from Blockchain.com to Bitcoin Core (Version 25) in August 2024, approximately one to two weeks before reporting a home invasion an
Lost Electrum Wallet: Encrypted Backup Without Password or Seed Phrase
Software wallet
On March 17, 2023, a BitcoinTalk forum user (Lavey666) posted to the Electrum wallet software section describing a complete loss of access to their self-custodi
Electrum Wallet Password Loss: 0.5 BTC Inaccessible After Partner's Accidental Send
Software wallet
In April 2023, a BitcoinTalk user (mrleaker) reported losing access to an Electrum wallet containing 0.5 BTC. The wallet had been created years prior as a refer
Forgotten Ledger Nano S Passphrase: Seed Phrase Retained but Inaccessible
Hardware wallet with passphrase
In March 2023, a forum user identified as despo4helpo posted to a Bitcoin technical support community seeking recovery advice for Bitcoin held on a Ledger Nano
12-Word Mnemonic Order Lost: 2,500 BTC Inaccessible Despite Full Word Knowledge
Software wallet
In December 2023, a BitcoinTalk forum user (ICONBTCX) disclosed a custody failure affecting 2,500 BTC held in a SegWit P2WPKH address (bc1qlmal276kkvrkn36m33xvl
House Fire Destroyed Bitcoin Core Wallet Password; Backup Found Without Access
Software wallet
DuduDB and his brother jointly held Bitcoin in an encrypted Bitcoin Core wallet on a desktop computer. In late 2023 or early 2024, a residential fire destroyed
1 BTC Inaccessible: Forgotten Bitcoin Core Wallet Password, DIY Recovery Unsuccessful
Software wallet
In September 2023, a BitcoinTalk user recovered an old wallet.dat file from legacy hardware that previously ran Bitcoin Core. The wallet contained just over 1 B
Lost Bitcoin Core Wallet from 2011: Unknown Encryption, No Private Key Access
Software wallet
In October 2023, a BitcoinTalk forum user identified as Borislee posted a request for assistance accessing an old Bitcoin Core wallet dating to approximately 20
Splashboard Trezor Passphrase Recovery: Third-Party Assisted Access Restoration
Hardware wallet with passphrase
Splashboard, a Bitcoin holder with minimal public forum presence, purchased a Trezor hardware wallet in late 2021 and performed initial setup. During the setup
180 BTC Lost Due to Forgotten Custom SHA256 Passphrase; Year-Long Manual Recovery Attempt
Software wallet
In January 2022, a BitcoinTalk user (k844738i) disclosed a critical custody failure spanning approximately one year. The user had created a Bitcoin wallet years
Legacy Blockchain.com Wallet Inaccessible: Private Keys Don't Match Funded Address
Exchange custody
In November 2022, a user (Gemwolf) discovered an old hard drive containing a wallet.dat file and notes from his 2012 Bitcoin experimentation period. Mining acti
150 BTC Passphrase Lost — No Recovery Method Available
Software wallet
On August 19, 2022, a user posted to Bitcoin Stack Exchange describing loss of access to a Bitcoin Core wallet containing 150 BTC (valued at approximately €3.2
Electrum Android Wallet Recovered With Seed, But Balance Remained Zero
Software wallet
On or before January 10, 2022, a user identified as zykera58 lost a mobile phone containing an Electrum wallet. The user retained both the wallet password and t
Armory Wallet Access Loss: Keyboard Malfunction During Password Entry
Software wallet
In 2022, a Bitcoin user created an Armory wallet intending to relocate funds to more secure storage. During password setup, the user's keyboard malfunctioned, f
AES256-CBC Encrypted Wallet: Partial Password Loss and Brute-Force Recovery
Software wallet
In July 2022, a Bitcoin holder posted to Stack Exchange describing an AES256-CBC encrypted wallet protected by a 15-character passphrase combining uppercase, lo
Incomplete Seed Phrase and Lost Password: Electrum Wallet Recovery Blocked
Software wallet
In April 2022, a BitcoinTalk user reported a custody failure affecting their brother's Electrum wallet. The brother had stored a 12-word BIP39 mnemonic phrase i
BitcoinTalk Bounty: $10,000 Offered for Forgotten Wallet Password Recovery
Unknown custody system
In April 2022, a BitcoinTalk forum user posting as 'walletrecovery' published a bounty thread offering $10,000 to anyone who could help recover a Bitcoin wallet
Browse by halving cycle and stress
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Vendor lockout
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Seed phrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Device loss
Halving Cycle 4 (2021–2024) — Coercion
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Vendor lockout
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Passphrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Seed phrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Device loss
Halving Cycle 3 (2017–2020) — Coercion
Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Passphrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Seed phrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Vendor lockout
Halving Cycle 2 (2013–2016) — Device loss
Halving Cycle 1 (2009–2012) — Seed phrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 1 (2009–2012) — Passphrase unavailable
Halving Cycle 1 (2009–2012) — Vendor lockout
Halving Cycle 1 (2009–2012) — Device loss
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