Part of the CustodyStress archive of observed Bitcoin custody incidents
2015 — Software wallet
Software wallet failures from 2015. Bear market conditions produced a cluster of access failures among holders who had acquired Bitcoin during the 2013 cycle.
55% of determinate cases from 2015 with this custody type resulted in a blocked outcome — 17 points below the all-years average of 72% for this custody type. This year accounts for 4% of all archive cases with this custody type. The most common recovery path is technical recovery.
Archive analysis — 18 cases
Outcomes
55% of determinate cases resulted in blocked access — 14 percentage points below the archive-wide average of 69%. 36% resulted in recovered access — above the archive average.
Documentation coverage
39% of cases have indeterminate outcomes — higher than the archive average of 43%.
Primary stress condition
50% of cases involve passphrase unavailable. Seed phrase unavailable accounts for a further 17%.
Recovery path
Technical Recovery is the most documented recovery path (4 cases, 22% of subset).
Documentation
39% of cases had present and interpretable documentation — yet still produced a blocked or constrained outcome.
Structural dependency
94% of cases carry a undocumented recovery procedure dependency tag — the most common structural factor in this subset.
6
Blocked
1
Constrained
4
Survived
7
Indeterminate
64% of determinate cases resulted in blocked or constrained access.
18 observed cases
Blocked
6 (33%)
Constrained
1 (6%)
Survived
4 (22%)
Indeterminate
7 (39%)
Electrum 8-Word Seed Recovery: Funds Visible on Blockchain, Wallet Shows Zero Balance
Software wallet
In 2015, forum user Braden_Hearn encountered a custody access failure after accidentally sending approximately $1000 USD worth of Bitcoin to an address controll
James Howell Bitcoin Hard Drive: Decade-Long Landfill Recovery Attempt Denied
Software wallet
James Howell, a Bitcoin holder from the 2014–2015 era when Bitcoin traded below $1,000, discarded a hard drive containing his private keys while cleaning his of
Bitcoin Core Wallet Corruption: Selective Key Decryption Failure and Community Recovery
Software wallet
Henke created an encrypted wallet backup on December 20, 2015, containing approximately 4 BTC. After refreshing his Windows 7 system and reinstalling Bitcoin Co
Bitcoin-Qt Passphrase Encoding Mismatch: Known Password Rejected Across Versions
Software wallet
StaleCoinz created a Bitcoin-Qt wallet on macOS in 2013 and encrypted it in 2015 using a passphrase he distinctly remembered. When he attempted to access the wa
Lost BIP38 Passphrase on Paper Wallet: 256 Case Combinations, No Documentation
Software wallet
In March 2015, a user known as 'germanuniv' created a paper wallet using bitaddress.org with BIP38 encryption enabled. To generate the passphrase, the user deri
Deleted Temporary Wallet Recovery via Private Key Forensic Extraction
Software wallet
In September 2015, a Bitcoin user known as dooglus encountered a self-imposed custody failure during a transaction resend operation. After noticing an unconfirm
Recovering Deleted Bitcoin Core wallet.dat via pywallet: Device Loss and Forensic Key Extraction
Software wallet
Edgar's Bitcoin Core wallet became inaccessible in 2015 when the wallet.dat file was removed from the active system while the Bitcoin Core client remained open.
Zombie Paintball Incident: Written Password Loss Blocks Access to $20K Bitcoin
Software wallet
Luke purchased his first Bitcoin around 2013 for approximately $200 and continued accumulating holdings over roughly two years, investing between $15,000 and $2
Father Died in 2015 With Bitcoin: Daughter Searches 200 USBs, Finds Nothing
Software wallet
A father purchased Bitcoin in the early 2010s, a decision that created friction within his marriage. He died unexpectedly in 2015 without documenting his holdin
Bitcoin Core USB Wallet (2015): Passphrase Lost, Balance Unconfirmed After Reimport
Software wallet
In 2015, an individual secured Bitcoin on a Bitcoin Core wallet stored on an external USB drive, encrypted with a passphrase. Years later, the owner connected t
Encrypted Bitcoin Core Wallet Loss: Forgotten Passphrase, Selective Key Export Failure
Software wallet
In October 2015, forum user phantitox reported recovering a wallet.dat file from a damaged hard drive, only to discover the passphrase protecting the encrypted
Forgotten Bitcoin Wallet on Lost Amazon Fire Phone: Data Recovery Failure
Software wallet
In 2015, a friend transferred approximately $10 worth of Bitcoin to a user's Amazon Fire phone using a mobile wallet application as payment for donuts. The user
Hard Drive Format Recovery: 2 BTC Restored via Sector Scanning and wallet.dat Reconstruction
Software wallet
In approximately 2015, marilyn4325 formatted a hard drive and installed Windows 10, intending to preserve wallet data via backup first. However, the backup beca
Forgotten Bitcoin Core Passphrase: Third-Party Recovery Service Success — Community Skepticism
Software wallet
In July 2015, a BitcoinTalk user (bassride2) discovered that while they had meticulously backed up their Bitcoin Core wallet.dat file multiple times, they had f
Electrum Wallet Password Loss Without Seed Phrase Backup
Software wallet
In November 2015, a BitcoinTalk user created a password-protected Electrum software wallet for testing purposes and set a password they believed followed the pa
0.22 BTC Inaccessible in Electrum Watch-Only Wallet After Bitcoin Core Import Error
Software wallet
In October 2015, a macOS user (ginko3000) discovered they could not spend 0.22 BTC held in an Electrum wallet despite the balance being visible on screen. The w
Forgotten Passphrase and Overwritten Wallet.dat: 0.50 BTC Permanently Lost
Software wallet
In May 2015, BitcoinTalk user grovearmada discovered they had lost access to an encrypted Bitcoin wallet containing 0.50 BTC (approximately $115–120 USD at 2015
Ruairi's Lost Paper Backup: €80 Bitcoin, Both Credentials on One Document
Software wallet
Ruairi purchased approximately €80 worth of Bitcoin in late 2015, driven by curiosity about the emerging technology and its associations with dark web markets.
More 2015 cases
2013 — Software wallet
2017 — Software wallet
2021 — Software wallet
2015 — Exchange custody
2017 — Exchange custody
2014 — Exchange custody
2011 — Software wallet
2013 — Exchange custody
2014 — Software wallet
2012 — Software wallet
2020 — Software wallet
2018 — Exchange custody
2018 — Software wallet
2024 — Software wallet
2016 — Exchange custody
2016 — Software wallet
2019 — Exchange custody
2019 — Software wallet
2010 — Software wallet
2025 — Software wallet
2023 — Software wallet
2022 — Software wallet
2022 — Exchange custody
2020 — Exchange custody
2021 — Exchange custody
2024 — Hardware wallet (single key)
All cases
Related pages
2015 — Exchange custody
2013 — Software wallet
2017 — Software wallet
2021 — Software wallet
2011 — Software wallet
2014 — Software wallet
2012 — Software wallet
2020 — Software wallet
2018 — Software wallet
2024 — Software wallet
2016 — Software wallet
2019 — Software wallet
2010 — Software wallet
2025 — Software wallet
2023 — Software wallet
2022 — Software wallet
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