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Part of the CustodyStress archive of observed Bitcoin custody incidents

Documentation Status vs Custody Outcomes — Documented Cases

How documentation status relates to documented outcomes in custody failure cases. Cases with present and interpretable documentation still produce blocked outcomes — documentation is necessary but not sufficient for recovery.

These figures describe observed outcome distributions within documented cases in this archive only. They describe the archive's documented incidents, not a representative sample of all Bitcoin custody failures.

Documentation present and interpretable (299 cases)
62% blocked 19% constrained 18% survived 20 indeterminate
Partial documentation (555 cases)
77% blocked 7% constrained 16% survived 346 indeterminate
No documentation known (7 cases)
100% blocked 0% constrained 0% survived 1 indeterminate

Cases with present and interpretable documentation still produce blocked outcomes at a significant rate — primarily exchange failures where documentation of account credentials did not protect against institutional collapse, and coercion cases where documentation is irrelevant to the failure mechanism. Cases with no documentation have the highest blocked rate and the lowest survival rate of any documentation category.

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